--- title: "Baleful case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Baleful ($27.10) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 126.58% over 10 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful rendered: 2026-11-12T06:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Baleful](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Baleful A case on Hellcase, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful?window=all) Price · $27.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 126.58% · 10 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 209.0% 418.5% **Small sample.** 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful?window=24h) | 2 | 25.44% ±1.63 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful?window=7d) | 7 | 169.52% ±248.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful) | 10 | 126.58% ±174.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/baleful?window=all) | 10 | 126.58% ±174.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=baleful) [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) [Xevist](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Xevist) $27.10 $6.67 0.25x 2026-11-12 05:43 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) [rere](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/rere) $27.10 $7.12 0.26x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [elikwent](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/elikwent) $27.10 $251 9.27x 2026-11-10 02:47 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) [C o m e n t z z](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/C%20o%20m%20e%20n%20t%20z%20z) $27.10 $16.75 0.62x 2026-11-07 01:20 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [N'Vico](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/N%26apos%3BVico) $27.10 $7.23 0.27x 2026-11-06 21:18 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [N'Vico](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/N%26apos%3BVico) $27.10 $7.21 0.27x 2026-11-05 18:00 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) [N'Vico](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/N%26apos%3BVico) $27.10 $25.42 0.94x 2026-11-05 17:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 126.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $126.58 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt