---
title: "Black Laminate case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Black Laminate ($70.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 94 items with odds, observed 87.38% over 223 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Black Laminate](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Black Laminate

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate?window=all)

Price · $70.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $61.60 from 94 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.38% · 223 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 36.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 87.78% ±14.33 167 openings

30 days · 87.38% ±12.07 223 openings

since tracking started · 87.38% ±12.07 223 openings

-0.5% 63.5% 127.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate?window=24h) | 6 | 57.99% ±68.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate?window=7d) | 167 | 87.78% ±14.3 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate) | 223 | 87.38% ±12.1 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-laminate?window=all) | 223 | 87.38% ±12.1 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 94 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 223 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $1,474 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $1,265 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,192 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $922 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,704 | $877 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $867 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $774 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $759 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $758 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $740 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,030 | $722 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $692 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 2,941 | $691 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $672 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $644 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,703 | $639 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 2,703 | $634 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $612 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $602 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $600 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $596 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,326 | $549 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $378 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,587 | $374 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-factory-new) | 1 in 1,471 | $348 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,449 | $344 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,235 | $294 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,136 | $269 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,075 | $255 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $250 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,042 | $249 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,053 | $248 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,010 | $241 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $241 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 943 | $223 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 926 | $220 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 870 | $206 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 840 | $199 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 813 | $193 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 800 | $190 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 741 | $175 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 699 | $167 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 699 | $166 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 690 | $164 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 658 | $156 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 654 | $154 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 645 | $153 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 621 | $147 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 595 | $141 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 562 | $133 | 0.4% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 469 | $112 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 469 | $111 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 457 | $108 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 415 | $98.37 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 394 | $93.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 392 | $93.17 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 373 | $88.67 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 365 | $86.61 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 364 | $86.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 347 | $82.38 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 345 | $81.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 342 | $81.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 341 | $80.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 340 | $80.67 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 339 | $80.55 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 340 | $80.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 338 | $80.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 334 | $79.29 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 332 | $78.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 325 | $76.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 325 | $76.90 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 324 | $76.61 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 323 | $76.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 306 | $72.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $70.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 293 | $69.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 292 | $69.32 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 286 | $67.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 283 | $67.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 281 | $66.61 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-well-worn) | 1 in 278 | $66.01 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 275 | $65.26 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 273 | $64.85 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 265 | $62.67 | 0.4% | 15 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $60.82 | 6.8% | 3 | 15.3 | 0.20× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $54.21 | 6.8% | 11 | 17.1 | 0.64× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $54.12 | 6.8% | 12 | 17.2 | 0.70× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $51.36 | 6.8% | 15 | 18.1 | 0.83× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $48.72 | 6.8% | 19 | 19.1 | 1.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $48.68 | 6.8% | 17 | 19.1 | 0.89× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $47.66 | 6.8% | 22 | 19.5 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $43.42 | 6.8% | 21 | 21.4 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $42.46 | 6.8% | 44 | 21.9 | 2.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 10.2% | $41.01 | 6.8% | 19 | 22.7 | 0.84× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/black-laminate`, 11 Nov, 15:56 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) [verzm3g](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/verzm3g) $70.00 $709 10.13x 2026-11-06 23:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=black-laminate)

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) [Artemys](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Artemys) $95.00 $42.46 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) [Khalid Kashmiri](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Khalid%20Kashmiri) $70.00 $60.82 0.87x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) [SHATRYA\\\\](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SHATRYA%5C%5C) $70.00 $42.46 0.61x 2026-11-11 09:21 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) [rastamanik](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/rastamanik) $70.00 $42.46 0.61x 2026-11-11 08:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) [bongomurzynkongo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/bongomurzynkongo) $95.00 $40.91 0.43x 2026-11-11 04:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-well-worn) [florex](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/florex) $70.00 $43.42 0.62x 2026-11-10 21:14 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-well-worn) [Flav'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Flav%26apos%3B) $70.00 $51.36 0.73x 2026-11-10 19:20 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [Heinz Wusel](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Heinz%20Wusel) $70.00 $53.91 0.77x 2026-11-10 16:19 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-black-laminate-battle-scarred) [R3dBuLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/R3dBuLL) $70.00 $54.12 0.77x 2026-11-09 22:57 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) [NatserX](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/NatserX) $70.00 $42.66 0.61x 2026-11-09 22:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $70.00 | 88.01% | 94 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $70.00 | 88.01% | 94 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $70.00 | 87.99% | 94 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $70.00 | 88.02% | 94 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $70.00 | 88.01% | 93 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $70.00 | 87.99% | 93 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $70.00 | 87.96% | 93 |
| 3 Nov, 22:52 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 93 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $58.80 | 88.01% | 93 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $58.80 | 88.00% | 93 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 41.0% covert 1.3% gold 18.6% mil spec 30.0% legendary 0.1% sunny 0.9% Covert 0.1% #ffd700 0.1% extraordinary 7.8% best hit $709 (10.13x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt