---
title: "Black Panther case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Black Panther ($6.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.03% from 165 items with odds, observed 59.90% over 233 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Black Panther](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Black Panther

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 88.03% · EV $5.28 from 165 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 59.90% · 233 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 21 openings · below min

7 days · 68.09% ±27.45 193 openings

30 days · 59.90% ±22.86 233 openings

since tracking started · 59.90% ±22.86 233 openings

5.0% 73.5% 142.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther?window=24h) | 21 | 73.39% ±68.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther?window=7d) | 193 | 68.09% ±27.4 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther) | 233 | 59.90% ±22.9 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/black-panther?window=all) | 233 | 59.90% ±22.9 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 165 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 233 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $374 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $286 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $178 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $172 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $162 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $160 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $139 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,571 | $129 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $128 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 3,448 | $127 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 3,571 | $126 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $121 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $118 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $110 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $98.92 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,703 | $96.71 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 1 in 2,564 | $93.44 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $93.40 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $85.62 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-factory-new) | 1 in 2,326 | $85.44 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $81.51 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 2,273 | $81.42 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $80.50 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 2,174 | $80.27 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $80.23 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $71.39 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $70.33 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,887 | $68.03 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 1,887 | $67.58 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $66.92 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,818 | $66.01 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 1,818 | $65.72 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 1,786 | $65.15 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,786 | $64.85 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 1,786 | $63.77 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,754 | $62.89 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $55.73 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $55.55 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,538 | $55.14 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 1,471 | $53.32 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,370 | $49.67 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,370 | $49.18 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,282 | $46.45 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $45.53 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 1,220 | $43.87 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,205 | $43.62 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,205 | $43.42 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,190 | $43.12 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,176 | $42.72 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,176 | $42.46 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,163 | $41.82 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,124 | $41.01 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $39.42 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $39.30 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 1,064 | $38.77 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $38.48 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $36.28 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 980 | $35.71 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 980 | $35.65 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 952 | $34.60 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 847 | $30.50 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 806 | $29.19 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 806 | $29.16 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 775 | $28.15 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $27.97 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 763 | $27.73 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 741 | $26.75 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 725 | $26.23 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 719 | $26.14 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $26.13 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $25.74 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 704 | $25.48 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-well-worn) | 1 in 699 | $25.21 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 699 | $25.20 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 690 | $25.02 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 690 | $24.94 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-battle-scarred) | 1 in 690 | $24.94 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Wings (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 649 | $23.56 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 654 | $23.55 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 641 | $23.20 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 637 | $23.18 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 637 | $23.09 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-wings-minimal-wear) | 1 in 621 | $22.51 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 581 | $21.08 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 575 | $20.85 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 568 | $20.51 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 526 | $19.00 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 515 | $18.60 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $18.08 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 498 | $17.95 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 476 | $17.24 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 469 | $16.96 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 457 | $16.50 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-well-worn) | 1 in 435 | $15.75 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 420 | $15.18 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 392 | $14.25 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-minimal-wear) | 1 in 394 | $14.25 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 391 | $14.12 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 385 | $13.88 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 377 | $13.66 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 368 | $13.32 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 365 | $13.25 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 351 | $12.68 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 1 in 348 | $12.60 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 340 | $12.35 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 338 | $12.23 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 336 | $12.14 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 336 | $12.12 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 330 | $11.93 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 319 | $11.56 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 316 | $11.44 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 315 | $11.43 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 315 | $11.42 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 312 | $11.28 | 0.7% | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 312 | $11.28 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 310 | $11.22 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-well-worn) | 1 in 309 | $11.18 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 309 | $11.17 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-well-worn) | 1 in 296 | $10.70 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 265 | $9.59 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 265 | $9.57 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 256 | $9.29 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 255 | $9.22 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 252 | $9.12 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 197 | $7.13 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 197 | $7.13 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 195 | $7.06 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 194 | $7.03 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $6.34 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 166 | $6.00 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $5.78 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $4.94 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 308 | $4.87 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 299 | $4.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-factory-new) | 1 in 292 | $4.61 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 279 | $4.41 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 275 | $4.36 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 270 | $4.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-minimal-wear) | 1 in 203 | $3.22 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) | 1 in 173 | $2.74 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $2.72 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.22× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-well-worn) | 1 in 158 | $2.50 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 154 | $2.44 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-minimal-wear) | 1 in 113 | $1.79 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-well-worn) | 1 in 103 | $1.63 | 0.3% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.77× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $1.56 | 0.3% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.12× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $1.12 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $1.11 | 0.3% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $1.06 | 0.3% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.73× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $1.01 | 0.3% | 7 | 3.6 | 1.92× |
| [MP9 \| Shredded (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $0.88 | 0.3% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $0.82 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-oscillator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $0.72 | 0.3% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $0.50 | 0.3% | 12 | 7.4 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-oscillator-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.47 | 0.3% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× |
| [MP9 \| Shredded (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.45 | 0.3% | 9 | 8.2 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-oscillator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.44 | 0.3% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.84× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.43 | 0.3% | 11 | 8.6 | 1.28× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.42 | 0.3% | 2 | 8.8 | 0.23× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-oscillator-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $0.41 | 0.3% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.38 | 0.3% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.34 | 0.3% | 7 | 10.8 | 0.65× |
| [MP9 \| Shredded (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.21 | 0.3% | 16 | 17.5 | 0.91× |
| [MP9 \| Shredded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.20 | 0.3% | 18 | 18.4 | 0.98× |
| [MP9 \| Shredded (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.18 | 0.3% | 19 | 20.5 | 0.93× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/black-panther`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=black-panther)

[AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-battle-scarred) [♱​ ᴋɪᴄᴏᴊʙᴛ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%99%B1%E2%80%8B%20%E1%B4%8B%C9%AA%E1%B4%84%E1%B4%8F%E1%B4%8A%CA%99%E1%B4%9B) $6.00 $2.44 0.41x 2026-11-11 10:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-battle-scarred) [CIASNA ANIA skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/CIASNA%20ANIA%20skins.army) $6.00 $16.96 2.83x 2026-11-11 09:31 UTC

[USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) [0,7?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/0%2C7%3F) $6.00 $41.82 6.97x 2026-11-11 09:17 UTC

[UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-minimal-wear) [EUROMefkaRozpieszcza](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/EUROMefkaRozpieszcza) $6.00 $0.38 0.06x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC

[MP9 | Shredded (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-well-worn) [007](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/007) $30.00 $0.21 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:15 UTC

[MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-field-tested) [hgdeleon](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/hgdeleon) $6.00 $0.20 0.03x 2026-11-11 04:47 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) [Mzedu3 PORK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Mzedu3%20PORK) $19.00 $1.01 0.05x 2026-11-11 01:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) [MAX](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MAX) $6.00 $7.03 1.17x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC

[MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-field-tested) [im high (](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/im%20high%20%28) $6.00 $0.20 0.03x 2026-11-10 23:40 UTC

[AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-battle-scarred) [Скрытый пул](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%A1%D0%BA%D1%80%D1%8B%D1%82%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BB) $30.00 $2.44 0.08x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $6.00 | 88.03% | 165 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $6.00 | 88.01% | 165 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $6.00 | 87.95% | 165 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $6.00 | 87.95% | 165 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $6.00 | 88.06% | 165 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $6.00 | 88.04% | 165 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $6.00 | 88.03% | 165 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $6.00 | 88.02% | 165 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $6.00 | 88.04% | 165 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $6.00 | 88.14% | 165 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $6.00 | 88.07% | 165 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $6.00 | 88.02% | 165 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 2.6% classified 7.3% restricted 4.8% Legendary 2.2% red 0.3% Ancient 0.2% #eb4b4b 0.0% covert 0.5% Classified 0.4% Covert 0.1% blue 32.5% milspec 20.0% Rare 14.3% Mil Spec Grade 4.9% Mythical 1.9% #4b69ff 3.8% violet 0.7% #8847ff 0.4% #d32ee6 0.5% pink 0.4% Mil Spec 2.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.03 on average: an expected loss of $11.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt