---
title: "Boreal Collection case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Boreal Collection ($3.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 145 items with odds, observed 77.74% over 239 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Boreal Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Boreal Collection

A case on Hellcase (armory), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection?window=all)

Price · $3.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $2.64 from 145 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.74% · 239 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 52.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 32 openings · below min

7 days · 74.60% ±15.98 195 openings

30 days · 77.74% ±14.46 239 openings

since tracking started · 77.74% ±14.46 239 openings

38.0% 78.0% 118.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection?window=24h) | 32 | 78.06% ±39.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection?window=7d) | 195 | 74.60% ±16.0 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection) | 239 | 77.74% ±14.5 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection?window=all) | 239 | 77.74% ±14.5 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 145 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 239 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $33.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $16.63 | 14.1% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $8.26 | 14.1% | 3 | 10.8 | 0.28× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $7.76 | 14.1% | 14 | 11.5 | 1.22× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $5.10 | 14.1% | 20 | 17.5 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $4.70 | 14.1% | 16 | 19.0 | 0.84× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) | 10.3% | $3.64 | 14.1% | 26 | 24.5 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-battle-scarred) | 10.3% | $3.62 | 14.1% | 25 | 24.6 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $2.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $1.75 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $1.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $0.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $0.96 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $0.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $0.88 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $0.88 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 4,348 | $0.82 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,167 | $0.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-well-worn) | 1 in 4,348 | $0.80 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $0.76 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,704 | $0.72 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Poplar Thicket (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-poplar-thicket-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $0.47 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-factory-new) | 1 in 2,128 | $0.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-well-worn) | 1 in 1,961 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-field-tested) | 1 in 1,961 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,818 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-poplar-thicket-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,205 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,205 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-garter-9-factory-new) | 1 in 1,149 | $0.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,099 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,099 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Leafhopper (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-leafhopper-factory-new) | 1 in 943 | $0.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) | 1 in 893 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Acid Dart (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 885 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Marsh (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-marsh-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Mustard Gas (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-mustard-gas-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Acid Hex (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $0.16 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Tiger Tear (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tiger-tear-factory-new) | 1 in 840 | $0.16 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Poplar Thicket (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-poplar-thicket-well-worn) | 1 in 629 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) | 1 in 629 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Poplar Thicket (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-poplar-thicket-field-tested) | 1 in 521 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Poplar Thicket (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-poplar-thicket-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 521 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-well-worn) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-field-tested) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-garter-9-minimal-wear) | 1 in 472 | $0.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-battle-scarred) | 1 in 418 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-well-worn) | 1 in 418 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Acid Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 418 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Leafhopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-leafhopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 418 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tiger-tear-minimal-wear) | 1 in 418 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-field-tested) | 1 in 366 | $0.07 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P2000 \| Marsh (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-marsh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 366 | $0.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Acid Hex (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 366 | $0.07 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P90 \| Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-mustard-gas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 366 | $0.07 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP9 \| Pine (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pine-factory-new) | 1 in 314 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Green Ceramic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-green-ceramic-factory-new) | 1 in 314 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Raw Ceramic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Palm (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-palm-factory-new) | 1 in 314 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Negev \| Raw Ceramic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-factory-new) | 1 in 314 | $0.06 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Acid Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Acid Dart (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Acid Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Leafhopper (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-leafhopper-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Leafhopper (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-leafhopper-well-worn) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Leafhopper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-leafhopper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [P2000 \| Marsh (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-marsh-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [P2000 \| Marsh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-marsh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Marsh (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-marsh-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| [MAC-10 \| Acid Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-field-tested) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [MAC-10 \| Acid Hex (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Acid Hex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [SSG 08 \| Tiger Tear (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tiger-tear-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [P90 \| Mustard Gas (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-mustard-gas-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [P90 \| Mustard Gas (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-mustard-gas-well-worn) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [P90 \| Mustard Gas (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-mustard-gas-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-garter-9-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-garter-9-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| [Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-garter-9-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| [P250 \| Copper Oxide (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [UMP-45 \| Green Swirl (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-green-swirl-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Oxide (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-oxide-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Cell (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-cell-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.63× |
| [SSG 08 \| Tiger Tear (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tiger-tear-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [SSG 08 \| Tiger Tear (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tiger-tear-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.63× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [MP9 \| Pine (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [MP9 \| Pine (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pine-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [MP9 \| Pine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pine-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [MP9 \| Pine (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pine-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Green Ceramic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-green-ceramic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [SSG 08 \| Green Ceramic (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-green-ceramic-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [SSG 08 \| Green Ceramic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-green-ceramic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Green Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-green-ceramic-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [P250 \| Copper Oxide (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Copper Oxide (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Copper Oxide (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Copper Oxide (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-copper-oxide-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Green Swirl (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-green-swirl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Green Swirl (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-green-swirl-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Green Swirl (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-green-swirl-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [UMP-45 \| Green Swirl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-green-swirl-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Raw Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [Tec-9 \| Raw Ceramic (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Raw Ceramic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Raw Ceramic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-palm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [FAMAS \| Palm (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-palm-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Palm (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-palm-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Palm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-palm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Oxide (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-oxide-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.28× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Oxide (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-oxide-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Oxide (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-oxide-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Oxide (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-oxide-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [M249 \| Sage Camo (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [M249 \| Sage Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [M249 \| Sage Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [M249 \| Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Cell (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-cell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.63× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Cell (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-cell-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Cell (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-cell-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Cell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-cell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [Negev \| Raw Ceramic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [Negev \| Raw Ceramic (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-well-worn) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Raw Ceramic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [Negev \| Raw Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/boreal-collection`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=boreal-collection)

[FAMAS | Palm (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-palm-field-tested) [PsychoMantis23](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/PsychoMantis23) $3.00 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) [PsychoMantis23](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/PsychoMantis23) $3.00 $4.70 1.57x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [PsychoMantis23](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/PsychoMantis23) $3.00 $5.10 1.70x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-well-worn) [PsychoMantis23](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/PsychoMantis23) $3.00 $7.76 2.59x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) [ⒶbμMαrcel](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%92%B6b%CE%BCM%CE%B1rcel) $3.00 $3.64 1.21x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[AUG | Commando Company (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-battle-scarred) [SoLaRiP\_Sauyzma](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SoLaRiP_Sauyzma) $3.00 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC

[P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-marsh-field-tested) [✦Big beef✦](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%9C%A6Big%20beef%E2%9C%A6) $3.00 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:07 UTC

[G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-cell-factory-new) [MARKO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MARKO) $3.00 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC

[AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-battle-scarred) [MARKO](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MARKO) $3.00 $0.10 0.03x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-well-worn) [Ahfe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ahfe) $3.00 $7.76 2.59x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $3.00 | 88.00% | 145 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 15.1% #d32ce6 17.1% #8847ff 7.5% blue 8.4% uncommon 0.0% #4b69ff 1.5% Uncommon 2.1% Rare 0.3% #5e98d9 9.5% common 1.7% industrial 2.3% blueLight 0.2% milspec 0.2% #b0c3d9 31.2% consumer 1.9% Common 1.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt