---
title: "Bowie Knives case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bowie Knives ($160.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 156 items with odds, observed 99.75% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Bowie Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Bowie Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie?window=all)

Price · $160.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $140.81 from 156 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.75% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 5 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 78.0% 156.5%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie?window=24h) | 1 | 52.83% ±103.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie?window=7d) | 5 | 82.96% ±46.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie) | 6 | 99.75% ±42.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/bowie?window=all) | 6 | 99.75% ±42.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 156 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 503 | $688 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 429 | $589 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 324 | $444 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 319 | $438 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 315 | $432 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 283 | $388 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $369 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 268 | $367 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 256 | $351 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 243 | $333 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $327 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 233 | $319 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 233 | $319 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 229 | $313 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 223 | $305 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 215 | $294 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 205 | $281 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 201 | $275 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 201 | $275 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $274 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 198 | $271 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 195 | $267 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $259 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 186 | $255 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 184 | $252 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $250 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $249 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 179 | $245 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $238 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 173 | $237 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 171 | $234 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $233 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 163 | $223 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 162 | $222 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 159 | $218 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 151 | $207 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 151 | $206 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 148 | $203 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 147 | $201 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $200 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $196 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 138 | $189 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 138 | $188 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 134 | $184 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $182 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 129 | $176 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $176 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $175 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 124 | $169 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $168 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $167 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $166 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $164 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $164 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $163 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $162 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $156 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $156 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $156 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $151 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $148 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $147 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $144 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 103 | $141 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 243 | $140 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 234 | $135 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 228 | $132 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 228 | $132 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 226 | $130 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 225 | $130 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 221 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 220 | $127 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 216 | $125 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 214 | $124 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 212 | $123 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 208 | $120 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 202 | $117 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 201 | $116 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 194 | $112 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 194 | $112 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 193 | $112 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 191 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 190 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 189 | $109 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 188 | $109 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 187 | $108 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 184 | $106 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 183 | $106 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $106 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $106 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $105 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $105 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $104 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $103 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 178 | $103 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 177 | $102 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 177 | $102 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $101 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $101 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $99.78 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $96.31 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 165 | $95.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 163 | $93.93 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $90.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $89.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 154 | $88.85 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153 | $88.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 152 | $88.01 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $84.53 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $84.45 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 146 | $84.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 145 | $84.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 145 | $83.85 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $81.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 141 | $81.48 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 141 | $81.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $80.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $80.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $80.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $80.09 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $80.01 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $78.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $78.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $78.67 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $78.47 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $78.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $77.57 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $76.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $76.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $75.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $74.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $74.63 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $73.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 126 | $72.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 126 | $72.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $72.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $72.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $72.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $71.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $69.04 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $67.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 116 | $67.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $67.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $66.61 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $66.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $66.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 113 | $65.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $64.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $64.62 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $62.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 107 | $61.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 107 | $61.67 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $60.04 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/bowie`, 11 Nov, 15:56 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=bowie)

[★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-well-worn) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $160 $84.53 0.53x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) [Hypnos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hypnos) $160 $81.48 0.51x 2026-11-09 05:04 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [Hypnos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hypnos) $160 $169 1.06x 2026-11-09 05:04 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) [👑JJcobe👑](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%9F%91%91JJcobe%F0%9F%91%91) $160 $95.65 0.60x 2026-11-06 09:57 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Shits McGee](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Shits%20McGee) $160 $233 1.46x 2026-11-06 02:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $160 | 87.96% | 156 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $160 | 88.00% | 156 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 60.1% covert 26.6% Covert 2.6% Immortal 3.4% #ffd700 2.1% sunny 0.7% gold 4.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt