---
title: "Classified case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Classified ($4.20) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.43% over 600 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Classified](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Classified

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified?window=all)

Price · $4.20

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.43% · 600 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 57 openings · below min

7 days · 469 openings · below min

30 days · 600 openings · below min

since tracking started · 600 openings · below min

70.5% 98.5% 126.5%

**Small sample.** 600 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified?window=24h) | 57 | 98.33% ±27.4 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified?window=7d) | 469 | 84.87% ±8.71 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified) | 600 | 88.43% ±7.76 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/classified?window=all) | 600 | 88.43% ±7.76 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=classified)

[AUG | Stymphalian (Well-Worn) weapon · 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-well-worn) [Hertagen00](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hertagen00) $4.20 $4.00 0.95x 2026-11-11 10:59 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) [Hertagen00](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hertagen00) $4.20 $14.81 3.53x 2026-11-11 10:59 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) [Hertagen00](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hertagen00) $4.20 $4.25 1.01x 2026-11-11 10:59 UTC

[Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-field-tested) [Hertagen00](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hertagen00) $4.20 $0.37 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-well-worn) [Hertagen00](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hertagen00) $4.20 $1.31 0.31x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [Hertagen00](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hertagen00) $4.20 $1.56 0.37x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-well-worn) [L.M](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/L.M) $4.20 $25.16 5.99x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC

[Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-field-tested) [L.M](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/L.M) $4.20 $0.37 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC

[XM1014 | Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) [DEMON](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/DEMON) $4.20 $10.93 2.60x 2026-11-11 06:46 UTC

[P90 | Wave Breaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-battle-scarred) [Dk K](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dk%20K) $4.20 $0.53 0.13x 2026-11-11 06:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.43 on average: an expected loss of $11.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
