---
title: "Clutch Season case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Clutch Season ($23.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.03% from 135 items with odds, observed 71.64% over 8 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Clutch Season](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Clutch Season

A case on Hellcase (esports), first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season?window=all)

Price · $23.00

Advertised RTP · 88.03% · EV $20.25 from 135 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.64% · 8 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 8 openings · below min

30 days · 8 openings · below min

since tracking started · 8 openings · below min

-0.5% 82.5% 165.5%

**Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season?window=24h) | 8 | 71.64% ±93.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season?window=7d) | 8 | 71.64% ±93.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season) | 8 | 71.64% ±93.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clutch-season?window=all) | 8 | 71.64% ±93.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 135 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $542 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $374 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $326 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $273 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 2,128 | $232 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 2,041 | $219 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $214 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $204 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,786 | $193 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 1,786 | $192 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $187 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,695 | $183 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $175 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,587 | $172 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,562 | $171 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $167 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 1,515 | $164 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,515 | $162 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 1,449 | $158 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 1,449 | $158 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,389 | $150 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,333 | $144 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 1,333 | $143 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,316 | $142 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,299 | $139 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 1,250 | $135 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $131 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $131 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $129 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 1,190 | $129 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $126 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,136 | $124 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,124 | $122 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,124 | $121 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $120 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $118 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 1,075 | $116 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,053 | $114 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,020 | $110 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $110 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 980 | $106 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 893 | $96.35 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 862 | $93.45 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 855 | $92.48 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 840 | $91.25 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 758 | $81.97 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 752 | $81.65 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 752 | $81.63 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 758 | $81.42 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 752 | $81.37 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 752 | $80.86 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 746 | $80.66 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 746 | $80.61 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 746 | $80.60 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 746 | $80.52 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 746 | $80.39 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 741 | $79.97 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 741 | $79.96 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 735 | $79.32 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 735 | $79.20 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 714 | $77.23 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 699 | $75.66 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 671 | $72.82 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $72.26 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 658 | $70.77 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 649 | $70.09 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 641 | $69.28 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 637 | $68.80 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $67.31 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 625 | $67.25 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 621 | $67.19 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 617 | $66.69 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 617 | $66.43 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 613 | $66.14 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 610 | $66.12 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 602 | $64.96 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 585 | $62.93 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 575 | $61.76 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 571 | $61.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 571 | $61.53 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 568 | $61.19 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 562 | $60.82 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 543 | $58.72 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 543 | $58.61 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 513 | $55.35 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 510 | $55.31 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 503 | $54.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 485 | $52.39 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $52.37 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 478 | $51.46 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 474 | $51.13 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 465 | $50.36 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $49.78 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 439 | $47.29 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 431 | $46.45 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 427 | $45.96 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 417 | $45.02 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 415 | $44.96 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 408 | $44.03 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 407 | $43.89 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 397 | $42.84 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 394 | $42.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 386 | $41.80 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 382 | $41.27 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 370 | $40.03 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 370 | $40.00 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 370 | $39.87 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 366 | $39.61 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 358 | $38.70 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 358 | $38.70 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 352 | $38.05 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) | 1 in 326 | $35.17 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 313 | $33.77 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $30.79 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 268 | $28.92 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 249 | $26.84 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 245 | $26.51 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 243 | $26.26 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $21.80 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 196 | $21.22 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $20.48 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $20.01 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $19.21 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $19.05 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $18.83 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $18.83 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $18.72 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $17.93 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $11.01 | 2.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $8.31 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $7.99 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $7.83 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 11.3% | $4.53 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 12.9% | $3.98 | 2.5% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.94× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 13.2% | $3.87 | 2.5% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.42× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/clutch-season`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=clutch-season)

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $23.00 $3.98 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $23.00 $3.98 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) [pisika](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pisika) $23.00 $11.01 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) [BEURBURRY](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BEURBURRY) $23.00 $19.05 0.83x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [SHATRYA\\\\](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SHATRYA%5C%5C) $23.00 $3.98 0.17x 2026-11-11 09:23 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) [L.M](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/L.M) $23.00 $44.03 1.91x 2026-11-11 08:37 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [L.M](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/L.M) $23.00 $3.98 0.17x 2026-11-11 08:37 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) [BOTJason™](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BOTJason%E2%84%A2) $23.00 $41.80 1.82x 2026-11-11 07:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) [The Soggy Gammon Man](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/The%20Soggy%20Gammon%20Man) $23.00 $79.20 3.44x 2026-11-11 02:30 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) [The Soggy Gammon Man](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/The%20Soggy%20Gammon%20Man) $23.00 $3.87 0.17x 2026-11-11 02:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $23.00 | 88.03% | 135 |
| 11 Nov, 03:46 UTC | $23.00 | 88.00% | 135 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 43.1% covert 10.8% #eb4b4b 0.7% Covert 0.7% red 1.9% Ancient 0.8% pink 41.1% Legendary 0.4% #d32ee6 0.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.03 on average: an expected loss of $11.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt