---
title: "Collector case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Collector ($30.36) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 104 items with odds, observed 85.73% over 374 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Collector

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector?window=all)

Price · $30.36

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $26.72 from 104 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.73% · 374 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 19 openings · below min

7 days · 88.38% ±13.02 345 openings

30 days · 85.73% ±12.43 374 openings

since tracking started · 85.73% ±12.43 374 openings

7.0% 56.5% 106.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector?window=24h) | 19 | 56.31% ±48.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector?window=7d) | 345 | 88.38% ±13.0 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector) | 374 | 85.73% ±12.4 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector?window=all) | 374 | 85.73% ±12.4 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 104 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 400 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $587 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $545 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $522 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,762 | $521 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $497 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $465 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $456 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $436 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $433 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 3,704 | $410 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $405 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $400 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $377 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,448 | $375 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $354 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 3,125 | $345 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $316 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,857 | $315 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,778 | $308 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $275 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $222 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $220 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $219 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $218 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 1,961 | $217 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 1,961 | $217 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 1,961 | $215 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $215 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $211 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 1,754 | $193 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $183 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 1,613 | $179 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,587 | $175 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,370 | $152 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-well-worn) | 1 in 1,389 | $152 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 1,351 | $149 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-well-worn) | 1 in 1,316 | $146 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-factory-new) | 1 in 1,299 | $145 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-well-worn) | 1 in 1,266 | $141 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-well-worn) | 1 in 1,235 | $137 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,235 | $136 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,235 | $136 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,190 | $131 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,190 | $131 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,149 | $126 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 1,136 | $125 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 1,136 | $125 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $123 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-field-tested) | 1 in 1,111 | $122 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 1,099 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,087 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,053 | $116 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-well-worn) | 1 in 980 | $108 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-field-tested) | 1 in 980 | $108 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-minimal-wear) | 1 in 952 | $106 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 943 | $104 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $104 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Heavy](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 917 | $102 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $101 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 901 | $100 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-well-worn) | 1 in 901 | $99.34 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $98.92 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $92.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-field-tested) | 1 in 820 | $90.08 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-field-tested) | 1 in 806 | $88.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 787 | $87.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 775 | $85.91 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 775 | $85.09 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-well-worn) | 1 in 758 | $83.72 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-field-tested) | 1 in 730 | $80.94 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 730 | $80.78 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 725 | $80.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-battle-scarred) | 1 in 714 | $78.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-battle-scarred) | 1 in 704 | $77.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 676 | $74.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $74.44 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $65.15 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 549 | $60.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 538 | $59.32 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $55.14 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 490 | $54.34 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 481 | $53.24 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 420 | $46.45 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 412 | $45.53 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 397 | $43.87 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 386 | $42.72 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 319 | $35.35 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.60× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 309 | $34.06 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 306 | $33.75 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 281 | $31.06 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 280 | $30.96 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.40× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $30.78 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 268 | $29.64 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 254 | $28.09 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $25.09 | 6.1% | 25 | 26.0 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $24.80 | 6.1% | 28 | 26.3 | 1.06× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $20.32 | 6.1% | 28 | 32.1 | 0.87× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $20.14 | 6.1% | 35 | 32.4 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $19.13 | 6.1% | 27 | 34.1 | 0.79× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $16.81 | 6.1% | 43 | 38.9 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 10.0% | $16.27 | 6.1% | 31 | 40.1 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 10.1% | $16.20 | 6.1% | 37 | 40.3 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 10.7% | $15.28 | 6.1% | 57 | 42.7 | 1.33× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 11.0% | $14.85 | 6.1% | 40 | 44.0 | 0.91× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/collector`, 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=collector)

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) [bongomurzynkongo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/bongomurzynkongo) $95.00 $25.09 0.26x 2026-11-11 04:53 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [Rerimex](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rerimex) $19.00 $24.80 1.31x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/shubidibap) $34.50 $15.28 0.44x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) [U1tra](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/U1tra) $30.36 $15.28 0.50x 2026-11-10 18:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) [ondřej ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ond%C5%99ej%20%E3%83%84) $30.36 $25.09 0.83x 2026-11-10 17:42 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [ondřej ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ond%C5%99ej%20%E3%83%84) $30.36 $16.81 0.55x 2026-11-10 17:42 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [Syzen](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Syzen) $30.36 $16.81 0.55x 2026-11-10 17:06 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) [Why\_NoT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Why_NoT) $30.36 $16.27 0.54x 2026-11-10 16:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) [SoMuchCumInmyAss](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SoMuchCumInmyAss) $30.36 $25.09 0.83x 2026-11-10 16:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) [scrappy.coco](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/scrappy.coco) $30.36 $16.20 0.53x 2026-11-10 16:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $30.36 | 88.00% | 104 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $30.36 | 88.00% | 104 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $30.36 | 88.01% | 104 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $30.36 | 87.99% | 104 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $30.36 | 87.99% | 104 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $30.36 | 88.02% | 104 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $30.36 | 88.01% | 104 |
| 3 Nov, 22:52 UTC | $30.36 | 88.01% | 104 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 92.7% restricted 1.0% #8847ff 0.0% covert 1.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.9% mil spec 1.4% #4b69ff 0.3% milspec 0.4% Rare 0.1% #4B69FF 0.1% blue 0.2% Heavy 0.1% Ancient 0.5% Covert 0.2% red 0.2% #d32ee6 0.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt