--- title: "Covert case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Covert ($12.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.14% over 1,722 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert rendered: 2026-11-12T07:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Covert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Covert A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert?window=all) Price · $12.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.14% · 1,722 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 120 openings · below min 7 days · 77.32% ±13.19 1,273 openings 30 days · 78.14% ±11.31 1,722 openings since tracking started · 78.14% ±11.31 1,722 openings 34.0% 68.3% 102.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert?window=24h) | 120 | 68.39% ±33.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert?window=7d) | 1,273 | 77.32% ±13.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert) | 1,722 | 78.14% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/covert?window=all) | 1,722 | 78.14% ±11.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=covert) [AK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) [★☜GoldenBurger☞★](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%98%85%E2%98%9CGoldenBurger%E2%98%9E%E2%98%85) $12.00 $51.25 4.27x 2026-11-12 06:43 UTC [AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-factory-new) [★☜GoldenBurger☞★](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%98%85%E2%98%9CGoldenBurger%E2%98%9E%E2%98%85) $12.00 $0.46 0.04x 2026-11-12 06:21 UTC [AWP | Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $35.13 2.93x 2026-11-12 06:08 UTC [Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-battle-scarred) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-12 06:08 UTC [AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-factory-new) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $0.46 0.04x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $47.13 3.93x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-battle-scarred) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-12 06:07 UTC [AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-12 06:06 UTC [AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-12 06:06 UTC [Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-battle-scarred) [klap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/klap) $12.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-12 06:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.14 on average: an expected loss of $21.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt