---
title: "Crimson Rivals case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Crimson Rivals ($0.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.98% from 90 items with odds, observed 100.63% over 344 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Crimson Rivals](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Crimson Rivals

A case on Hellcase (esports), first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals?window=all)

Price · $0.50

Advertised RTP · 87.98% · EV $0.44 from 90 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 100.63% · 344 openings, odds method

Variance · 18.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 100.63% ±45.55 344 openings

7 days · 100.63% ±45.55 344 openings

30 days · 100.63% ±45.55 344 openings

since tracking started · 100.63% ±45.55 344 openings

54.5% 100.8% 147.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals?window=24h) | 344 | 100.63% ±45.5 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals?window=7d) | 344 | 100.63% ±45.5 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals) | 344 | 100.63% ±45.5 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/crimson-rivals?window=all) | 344 | 100.63% ±45.5 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 90 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 656 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $194 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $118 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $90.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $85.08 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $79.31 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $74.19 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $59.13 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $44.86 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $44.46 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,125 | $41.98 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) | 1 in 704 | $9.48 | 3.1% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) | 1 in 543 | $7.33 | 3.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-factory-new) | 1 in 452 | $6.08 | 3.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 1 in 243 | $3.28 | 3.1% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 1 in 219 | $2.95 | 3.1% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $1.64 | 3.1% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.49× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $1.30 | 3.1% | 5 | 6.8 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $1.23 | 3.1% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $1.13 | 3.1% | 3 | 7.8 | 0.38× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $1.12 | 3.1% | 12 | 7.9 | 1.52× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $1.00 | 3.1% | 13 | 8.8 | 1.47× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $0.86 | 3.1% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.27× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $0.84 | 3.1% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $0.71 | 3.1% | 15 | 12.4 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.70 | 3.1% | 16 | 12.6 | 1.27× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $0.67 | 3.1% | 11 | 13.2 | 0.83× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $0.65 | 3.1% | 15 | 13.6 | 1.10× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $0.55 | 3.1% | 20 | 16.1 | 1.25× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $0.54 | 3.1% | 13 | 16.3 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $0.50 | 3.1% | 19 | 17.7 | 1.08× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $0.44 | 3.1% | 15 | 20.1 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $0.44 | 3.1% | 18 | 20.1 | 0.90× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.44 | 3.1% | 33 | 20.1 | 1.64× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-field-tested) | 1 in 377 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-battle-scarred) | 1 in 377 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.73× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) | 1 in 328 | $0.33 | 0.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) | 1 in 327 | $0.33 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 317 | $0.32 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 317 | $0.32 | 0.2% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.94× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-factory-new) | 1 in 308 | $0.31 | 0.2% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.94× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 298 | $0.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 288 | $0.29 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 278 | $0.28 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 278 | $0.28 | 0.2% | 7 | 2.4 | 2.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 228 | $0.23 | 0.2% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 228 | $0.23 | 0.2% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 228 | $0.23 | 0.2% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.74× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 218 | $0.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 179 | $0.18 | 0.2% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.36× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) | 1 in 179 | $0.18 | 0.2% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.36× |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) | 1 in 179 | $0.18 | 0.2% | 8 | 3.7 | 2.18× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 159 | $0.16 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $0.15 | 0.2% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.45× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 149 | $0.15 | 0.2% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $0.14 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 129 | $0.13 | 0.2% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.79× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-battle-scarred) | 1 in 129 | $0.13 | 0.2% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.79× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $0.13 | 0.2% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $0.12 | 0.2% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $0.12 | 0.2% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.45× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $0.12 | 0.2% | 1 | 5.5 | 0.18× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $0.12 | 0.2% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.09× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $0.12 | 0.2% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $0.10 | 0.2% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $0.10 | 0.2% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $0.10 | 0.2% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $0.10 | 0.2% | 14 | 6.6 | 2.12× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $0.10 | 0.2% | 2 | 6.6 | 0.30× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $0.09 | 0.2% | 8 | 7.3 | 1.09× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $0.09 | 0.2% | 10 | 7.3 | 1.36× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $0.09 | 0.2% | 10 | 7.3 | 1.36× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 11 | 8.3 | 1.33× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.21× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 5 | 8.3 | 0.60× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 8 | 8.3 | 0.97× |
| [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.21× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.85× |
| [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.85× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $0.07 | 0.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $0.06 | 0.2% | 11 | 11.0 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $0.06 | 0.2% | 12 | 11.0 | 1.09× |
| [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 10 | 16.5 | 0.60× |
| [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 24 | 22.0 | 1.09× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 18 | 22.0 | 0.82× |
| [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 27 | 22.0 | 1.22× |
| [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 13 | 22.0 | 0.59× |
| [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 22 | 22.0 | 1.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 21 | 22.0 | 0.95× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/crimson-rivals`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [cmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cmy) $0.50 $44.46 88.92x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=crimson-rivals)

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) [wrein](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/wrein) $0.50 $0.44 0.88x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC

[SG 553 | Aerial (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-battle-scarred) [FitzHueNicely](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/FitzHueNicely) $0.50 $0.67 1.34x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC

[Glock-18 | High Beam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-minimal-wear) [FitzHueNicely](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/FitzHueNicely) $0.50 $0.23 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Hyskade](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hyskade) $0.50 $0.06 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mudder (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-well-worn) [Hyskade](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hyskade) $0.50 $0.12 0.24x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-factory-new) [apnoea](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/apnoea) $0.50 $1.64 3.28x 2026-11-11 14:42 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) [apnoea](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/apnoea) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:42 UTC

[Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-well-worn) [Veloo06](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Veloo06) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC

[MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-minimal-wear) [Veloo06](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Veloo06) $0.50 $0.55 1.10x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC

[USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) [Не попадаю](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%9D%D0%B5%20%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%BF%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%8E) $0.50 $0.18 0.36x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $0.50 | 87.98% | 90 |
| 11 Nov, 03:46 UTC | $0.50 | 88.01% | 90 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 0.4% covert 0.0% Covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% red 0.0% industrial 12.1% #87c7ff 6.4% milspec 21.1% mil spec 8.2% consumer 26.5% Mil Spec Grade 2.9% Rare 2.0% blue 7.1% #4b69ff 3.5% Uncommon 0.4% Mil Spec 0.6% light blue 0.6% #777777 1.3% #B0C3D9 3.4% Common 3.4% best hit $44.46 (88.92x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.98 on average: an expected loss of $12.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt