---
title: "CYRIL NEW case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CYRIL NEW ($6.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 58.81% over 132 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [CYRIL NEW](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · CYRIL NEW

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 58.81% · 132 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 36 openings · below min

7 days · 98 openings · below min

30 days · 132 openings · below min

since tracking started · 132 openings · below min

26.5% 64.3% 102.0%

**Small sample.** 132 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2?window=24h) | 36 | 64.28% ±37.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2?window=7d) | 98 | 62.82% ±28.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2) | 132 | 58.81% ±21.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/cyrilv2?window=all) | 132 | 58.81% ±21.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=cyrilv2)

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $0.85 0.14x 2026-11-12 03:00 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-battle-scarred) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $0.62 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC

[Aspirant | Gendarmerie Nationale agent · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/aspirant-gendarmerie-nationale) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $11.50 1.92x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC

[Sticker | Dark Water Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dark-water-surf-ava-foil) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $11.05 1.84x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $0.61 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-battle-scarred) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $0.62 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC

[P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-minimal-wear) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $6.18 1.03x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $8.63 1.44x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC

[P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $4.16 0.69x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [MrKikino](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MrKikino) $6.00 $0.61 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 58.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $58.81 on average: an expected loss of $41.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
