---
title: "Dead Hand Collection case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dead Hand Collection ($16.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.01% from 136 items with odds, observed 96.00% over 643 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Dead Hand Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Dead Hand Collection

A case on Hellcase (armory), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand?window=all)

Price · $16.00

Advertised RTP · 88.01% · EV $14.08 from 136 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.00% · 643 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 39 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 60 openings · below min

7 days · 100.61% ±27.42 559 openings

30 days · 96.00% ±25.56 643 openings

since tracking started · 96.00% ±25.56 643 openings

70.0% 156.0% 242.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand?window=24h) | 60 | 157.69% ±83.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand?window=7d) | 559 | 100.61% ±27.4 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand) | 643 | 96.00% ±25.6 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dead-hand?window=all) | 643 | 96.00% ±25.6 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 136 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 643 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,079 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $780 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $658 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $546 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $545 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Big Swell (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-big-swell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $534 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) | 1 in 3,125 | $484 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,030 | $461 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-well-worn) | 1 in 3,030 | $459 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $443 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $440 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $427 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Battle-Scarred) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,778 | $425 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-well-worn) | 1 in 2,703 | $418 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $387 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $340 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,174 | $330 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $324 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,128 | $323 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Violet Beadwork (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-violet-beadwork-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $322 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,041 | $313 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $310 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $307 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $289 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-well-worn) | 1 in 1,887 | $284 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Violet Beadwork (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-violet-beadwork-well-worn) | 1 in 1,754 | $270 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Big Swell (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-big-swell-field-tested) | 1 in 1,786 | $268 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,695 | $257 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $251 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,587 | $244 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Big Swell (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-big-swell-well-worn) | 1 in 1,538 | $237 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-field-tested) | 1 in 1,538 | $235 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 1,515 | $231 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-well-worn) | 1 in 1,493 | $228 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-field-tested) | 1 in 1,471 | $226 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Violet Beadwork (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-violet-beadwork-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,471 | $223 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $217 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-well-worn) | 1 in 1,408 | $217 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-field-tested) | 1 in 1,389 | $214 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-well-worn) | 1 in 1,389 | $211 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,370 | $209 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Creme Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,333 | $202 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,316 | $201 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-well-worn) | 1 in 1,205 | $184 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 1,176 | $181 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-field-tested) | 1 in 1,124 | $172 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,111 | $170 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,099 | $168 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 1,087 | $165 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-well-worn) | 1 in 1,075 | $163 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-well-worn) | 1 in 1,042 | $159 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,031 | $158 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-well-worn) | 1 in 1,031 | $157 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Big Swell (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-big-swell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,010 | $155 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 952 | $146 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $144 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-field-tested) | 1 in 935 | $143 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-well-worn) | 1 in 909 | $139 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 901 | $138 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-field-tested) | 1 in 862 | $132 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-well-worn) | 1 in 870 | $132 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-battle-scarred) | 1 in 862 | $132 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 855 | $130 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 833 | $128 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $128 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $117 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 763 | $117 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-well-worn) | 1 in 763 | $116 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-battle-scarred) | 1 in 735 | $112 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $109 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Creme Pinstripe (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-well-worn) | 1 in 704 | $108 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $101 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-battle-scarred) | 1 in 641 | $97.85 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-well-worn) | 1 in 633 | $96.80 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-battle-scarred) | 1 in 613 | $93.72 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Creme Pinstripe (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 549 | $83.89 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-field-tested) | 1 in 526 | $80.50 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $80.05 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Creme Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 515 | $78.64 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 508 | $77.54 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-factory-new) | 1 in 437 | $66.75 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-well-worn) | 1 in 418 | $63.79 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-well-worn) | 1 in 415 | $63.27 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-battle-scarred) | 1 in 324 | $49.49 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 317 | $48.53 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $32.52 | 1.1% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $24.38 | 1.1% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.24× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $18.59 | 1.1% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.33× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-well-worn) | 1 in 855 | $13.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 820 | $13.35 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 694 | $11.30 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-factory-new) | 1 in 538 | $8.75 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-field-tested) | 1 in 481 | $7.85 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Factory New) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-factory-new) | 1 in 474 | $7.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) | 1 in 418 | $6.82 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.95× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $6.52 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.24× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 305 | $4.97 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Galigator (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-factory-new) | 1 in 293 | $4.78 | 0.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $4.40 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198 | $3.22 | 0.1% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164 | $2.68 | 0.1% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.53× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $2.30 | 0.1% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.88× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $2.20 | 0.1% | 9 | 4.8 | 1.89× |
| [Galil AR \| Galigator (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $2.11 | 0.1% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.21× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-minimal-wear) | 1 in 123 | $2.00 | 0.1% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.76× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $1.51 | 0.1% | 1 | 6.9 | 0.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.27 | 0.1% | 9 | 8.2 | 1.09× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $1.19 | 0.1% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.14× |
| [Galil AR \| Galigator (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $1.19 | 0.1% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.80× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $1.18 | 0.1% | 10 | 8.9 | 1.13× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $1.18 | 0.1% | 10 | 8.9 | 1.13× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $1.17 | 0.1% | 5 | 9.0 | 0.56× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $1.13 | 0.1% | 13 | 9.3 | 1.40× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $1.13 | 0.1% | 11 | 9.3 | 1.19× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1.10 | 0.1% | 9 | 9.5 | 0.94× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1.09 | 0.1% | 5 | 9.6 | 0.52× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $1.08 | 0.1% | 6 | 9.7 | 0.62× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $1.03 | 0.1% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $1.02 | 0.1% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.27× |
| [Galil AR \| Galigator (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $1.01 | 0.1% | 8 | 10.4 | 0.77× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $0.94 | 0.1% | 17 | 11.1 | 1.52× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $0.94 | 0.1% | 13 | 11.1 | 1.17× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $0.92 | 0.1% | 13 | 11.4 | 1.14× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $0.91 | 0.1% | 13 | 11.5 | 1.13× |
| [Galil AR \| Galigator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $0.91 | 0.1% | 5 | 11.5 | 0.43× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Fusion (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fusion-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $0.91 | 0.1% | 12 | 11.5 | 1.04× |
| [M249 \| Bock Blocks (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $0.90 | 0.1% | 6 | 11.6 | 0.52× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.47 | 0.1% | 31 | 22.3 | 1.39× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.37 | 0.1% | 34 | 28.3 | 1.20× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 29 | 30.0 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.32 | 0.1% | 23 | 32.8 | 0.70× |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.29 | 0.1% | 41 | 36.1 | 1.13× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.28 | 0.1% | 34 | 37.4 | 0.91× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Fusion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fusion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.24 | 0.1% | 46 | 43.7 | 1.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.24 | 0.1% | 52 | 43.7 | 1.19× |
| [M249 \| Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.24 | 0.1% | 38 | 43.7 | 0.87× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/dead-hand`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-minimal-wear) [N'Vico](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/N%26apos%3BVico) $16.00 $658 41.10x 2026-11-10 17:14 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) [Zert](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Zert) $16.00 $517 32.32x 2026-11-06 10:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=dead-hand)

[Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-well-worn) [Trickzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Trickzz) $16.00 $1.18 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-battle-scarred) [Trickzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Trickzz) $16.00 $0.91 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-minimal-wear) [Trickzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Trickzz) $16.00 $0.24 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-well-worn) [just\_Andrew™](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/just_Andrew%E2%84%A2) $16.00 $1.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC

[M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-minimal-wear) [La Caillette"](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/La%20Caillette%26quot%3B) $16.00 $0.24 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC

[USP-S | Silent Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-minimal-wear) [Maurice](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maurice) $16.00 $0.94 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:57 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fusion-factory-new) [donatelo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/donatelo) $16.00 $0.91 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-minimal-wear) [donatelo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/donatelo) $16.00 $0.24 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-big-swell-well-worn) [Czajkaaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Czajkaaa) $16.00 $237 14.80x 2026-11-11 10:11 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-minimal-wear) [★ ZΣD ★](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%98%85%20Z%CE%A3D%20%E2%98%85) $16.00 $0.32 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $16.00 | 88.01% | 136 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $16.00 | 87.98% | 136 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $16.00 | 87.89% | 136 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $16.00 | 88.05% | 136 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $16.00 | 88.03% | 136 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $16.00 | 88.00% | 136 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $16.00 | 88.03% | 136 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $16.00 | 88.00% | 136 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $16.00 | 88.01% | 136 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $16.00 | 88.03% | 136 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $16.00 | 87.99% | 136 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 0.2% sunny 0.2% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 2.1% Immortal 0.9% rare 2.8% epic 0.7% gold 0.2% Ancient 0.2% red 0.7% Legendary 1.1% pink 2.3% Mythical 1.3% uncommon 0.7% violet 13.6% #8847ff 4.3% Rare 5.4% restricted 6.9% milspec 20.4% blue 20.6% #4b69ff 15.4% best hit $658 (41.10x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.01 on average: an expected loss of $11.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt