--- title: "Diamond case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Diamond ($186.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 52.81% over 51 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond rendered: 2026-11-12T03:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Diamond](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Diamond A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond?window=all) Price · $186.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 52.81% · 51 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 38 openings · below min 30 days · 51 openings · below min since tracking started · 51 openings · below min 25.5% 59.3% 93.0% **Small sample.** 51 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond?window=24h) | 10 | 59.32% ±32.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond?window=7d) | 38 | 55.65% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond) | 51 | 52.81% ±13.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/diamond?window=all) | 51 | 52.81% ±13.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=diamond) [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) [@jordanr](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%40jordanr) $186 $59.32 0.32x 2026-11-12 02:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) [@jordanr](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%40jordanr) $186 $74.19 0.40x 2026-11-12 02:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) [@jordanr](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%40jordanr) $186 $377 2.03x 2026-11-12 02:39 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) [Use Code wawayxd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Use%20Code%20wawayxd) $186 $63.79 0.34x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [USP-S | Caiman (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-minimal-wear) [Use Code wawayxd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Use%20Code%20wawayxd) $186 $33.13 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [Use Code wawayxd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Use%20Code%20wawayxd) $186 $155 0.83x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [M4A4 | Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) [scrappy.coco](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/scrappy.coco) $186 $86.32 0.46x 2026-11-11 16:29 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) [scrappy.coco](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/scrappy.coco) $186 $86.84 0.47x 2026-11-11 16:29 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Caitai](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Caitai) $186 $80.75 0.43x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) [Caitai](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Caitai) $186 $86.72 0.47x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 52.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $52.81 on average: an expected loss of $47.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt