---
title: "Dream case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Dream ($49.68) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.98% from 85 items with odds, observed 94.24% over 73 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Dream

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream?window=all)

Price · $49.68

Advertised RTP · 87.98% · EV $43.71 from 85 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.24% · 73 openings, sample method

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 20 openings · below min

7 days · 66 openings · below min

30 days · 73 openings · below min

since tracking started · 73 openings · below min

-0.5% 77.3% 155.0%

**Small sample.** 73 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream?window=24h) | 20 | 41.33% ±99.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream?window=7d) | 66 | 100.64% ±53.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream) | 73 | 94.24% ±48.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dream?window=all) | 73 | 94.24% ±48.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 85 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 73 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $1,990 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,877 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $1,785 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 3,125 | $1,762 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,961 | $1,103 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,887 | $1,064 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 1,538 | $867 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,136 | $644 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,124 | $637 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 1,053 | $593 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $593 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 1,042 | $587 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $564 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 917 | $521 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 833 | $468 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 813 | $461 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 775 | $438 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 769 | $432 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 758 | $426 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 704 | $396 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 629 | $356 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 581 | $330 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 575 | $325 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 565 | $318 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 541 | $305 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 483 | $273 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 446 | $251 | 1.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 403 | $228 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $227 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 392 | $222 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 391 | $221 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 376 | $212 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 376 | $212 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $202 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 342 | $194 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 340 | $192 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 322 | $181 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 321 | $181 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 299 | $168 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 296 | $167 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 289 | $164 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 282 | $160 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 279 | $157 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 274 | $155 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 252 | $143 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 249 | $141 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 244 | $138 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 241 | $136 | 1.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 238 | $135 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 238 | $134 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 232 | $131 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 221 | $125 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $120 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $118 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 196 | $111 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 191 | $108 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 186 | $105 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $102 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $101 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 176 | $99.75 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 173 | $97.94 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $74.06 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $39.79 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $37.23 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $33.50 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $20.56 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $17.64 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $14.99 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $14.21 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $12.11 | 0.9% | 5 | 2.3 | 2.20× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $11.42 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $11.38 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $11.02 | 0.9% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.00× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $10.72 | 0.9% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $10.52 | 0.9% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $9.83 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $8.60 | 0.9% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $8.38 | 0.9% | 7 | 3.3 | 2.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $8.27 | 0.9% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $7.97 | 0.9% | 7 | 3.5 | 2.02× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $7.95 | 0.9% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $7.88 | 0.9% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $6.38 | 0.9% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $6.37 | 0.9% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.62× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $5.41 | 0.9% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/dream`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $56.45 $652 11.55x 2026-11-09 09:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [SATIR58](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SATIR58) $49.68 $644 12.97x 2026-11-10 19:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=dream)

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) [OXIMATHEE ON TWITCH](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/OXIMATHEE%20ON%20TWITCH) $49.68 $14.21 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) [pisika](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pisika) $49.68 $6.37 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) [pisika](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pisika) $49.68 $8.38 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) [pisika](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pisika) $49.68 $5.41 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-scorched-field-tested) [pisika](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pisika) $49.68 $101 2.03x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) [pisika](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pisika) $49.68 $5.41 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-well-worn) [ZoZ1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ZoZ1k) $49.68 $11.42 0.23x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) [BIGI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BIGI) $49.68 $7.87 0.16x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) [BIGI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BIGI) $49.68 $5.41 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) [BIGI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BIGI) $49.68 $8.38 0.17x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $49.68 | 87.98% | 85 |
| 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $49.68 | 88.03% | 85 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 63.2% covert 10.7% restricted 0.2% Covert 0.2% covert knife 3.2% gold 0.3% #ffd700 0.4% #d32ee6 4.4% Legendary 9.0% pink 3.6% #d32ce6 4.8% best hit $652 (11.55x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.98 on average: an expected loss of $12.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt