--- title: "Exceptional case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Exceptional ($9.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.06% over 90 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional rendered: 2026-11-13T20:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Exceptional A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional?window=all) Price · $9.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.06% · 90 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 47 openings · below min 30 days · 90 openings · below min since tracking started · 90 openings · below min -0.5% 135.0% 270.5% **Small sample.** 90 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional?window=24h) | 4 | 122.28% ±147.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional?window=7d) | 47 | 88.31% ±41.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional) | 90 | 75.06% ±23.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/exceptional?window=all) | 90 | 75.06% ±23.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=exceptional) [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [Ethan Winters](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ethan%20Winters) $9.00 $7.30 0.81x 2026-11-13 19:05 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) [Ethan Winters](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ethan%20Winters) $9.00 $30.97 3.44x 2026-11-13 19:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [Wuj WodzU](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Wuj%20WodzU) $9.00 $0.88 0.10x 2026-11-13 12:19 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) [Kunzai99](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Kunzai99) $9.00 $4.87 0.54x 2026-11-13 08:47 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.00 $5.08 0.56x 2026-11-12 19:04 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.00 $6.68 0.74x 2026-11-12 19:04 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) [Rabityo\_031](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rabityo_031) $9.00 $4.74 0.53x 2026-11-12 18:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [Rabityo\_031](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rabityo_031) $9.00 $0.88 0.10x 2026-11-12 18:28 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) [Rabityo\_031](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rabityo_031) $9.00 $4.46 0.50x 2026-11-12 18:28 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-well-worn) [Rabityo\_031](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rabityo_031) $9.00 $27.18 3.02x 2026-11-12 18:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.06 on average: an expected loss of $24.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt