--- title: "Fade Case case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fade Case ($8.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.81% over 556 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade rendered: 2026-11-11T14:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Fade Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Fade Case A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade?window=all) Price · $8.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.81% · 556 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 63 openings · below min 7 days · 451 openings · below min 30 days · 556 openings · below min since tracking started · 556 openings · below min 7.5% 67.5% 127.5% **Small sample.** 556 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade?window=24h) | 63 | 56.98% ±48.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade?window=7d) | 451 | 96.53% ±30.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade) | 556 | 98.81% ±27.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fade?window=all) | 556 | 98.81% ±27.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=fade) [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-factory-new) [hessamdinach](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/hessamdinach) $8.00 $1.20 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [xxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xxx) $8.00 $8.14 1.02x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [Apsipis3s](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Apsipis3s) $8.00 $0.21 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [ƬЄƦȤƖ ✂](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%C6%AC%D0%84%C6%A6%C8%A4%C6%96%20%E2%9C%82) $8.00 $0.21 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $8.00 $0.21 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $8.00 $8.14 1.02x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [Stars f0x](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Stars%20f0x) $8.00 $1.56 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [✪ ValaX ♛ !](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%9C%AA%20ValaX%20%E2%99%9B%20!) $8.00 $0.21 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [stoned jezus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/stoned%20jezus) $8.00 $0.21 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [ƬЄƦȤƖ ✂](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%C6%AC%D0%84%C6%A6%C8%A4%C6%96%20%E2%9C%82) $8.00 $0.30 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.81 on average: an expected loss of $1.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt