---
title: "Final Showdown case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Final Showdown ($6.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.97% from 132 items with odds, observed 153.55% over 40 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Final Showdown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Final Showdown

A case on Hellcase (esports), first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 87.97% · EV $5.28 from 132 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 153.55% · 40 openings, sample method

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 40 openings · below min

7 days · 40 openings · below min

30 days · 40 openings · below min

since tracking started · 40 openings · below min

4.0% 153.5% 303.0%

**Small sample.** 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown?window=24h) | 40 | 153.55% ±148.8 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown?window=7d) | 40 | 153.55% ±148.8 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown) | 40 | 153.55% ±148.8 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-showdown?window=all) | 40 | 153.55% ±148.8 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 132 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $293 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $275 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $222 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $220 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $217 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $215 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $215 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $212 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $198 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 4,167 | $179 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $175 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $140 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,326 | $98.80 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $45.18 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 1,053 | $44.45 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 1,031 | $43.69 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 1,020 | $43.64 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 971 | $41.27 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 935 | $39.85 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 935 | $39.64 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 917 | $38.93 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 909 | $38.76 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 813 | $34.50 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 800 | $34.24 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $32.75 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 602 | $25.70 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 575 | $24.56 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 568 | $24.25 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 526 | $22.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 495 | $21.08 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 495 | $21.02 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 481 | $20.45 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 448 | $19.07 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 442 | $18.87 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 420 | $17.88 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $17.35 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 405 | $17.23 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 405 | $17.20 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 397 | $16.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 394 | $16.77 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 392 | $16.63 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) | 1 in 340 | $14.49 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 338 | $14.36 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 332 | $14.17 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 331 | $14.08 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 328 | $13.94 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 308 | $13.09 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 283 | $12.07 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 276 | $11.74 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 265 | $11.26 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 256 | $10.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 254 | $10.83 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 248 | $10.53 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 240 | $10.21 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 236 | $10.04 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 232 | $9.88 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 226 | $9.63 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-well-worn) | 1 in 216 | $9.20 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 216 | $9.18 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $9.07 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 209 | $8.91 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 209 | $8.89 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 206 | $8.75 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 205 | $8.71 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 198 | $8.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 198 | $8.41 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 195 | $8.28 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $8.12 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $8.07 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $7.90 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 185 | $7.88 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $7.75 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $7.52 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 177 | $7.51 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 174 | $7.38 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $7.33 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 172 | $7.31 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 171 | $7.28 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $7.14 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 163 | $6.95 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 163 | $6.92 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 163 | $6.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $6.89 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $6.84 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $6.82 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 151 | $6.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149 | $6.35 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 145 | $6.16 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 142 | $6.03 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $5.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $5.88 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 153 | $5.26 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $4.85 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $4.78 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $4.76 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $4.74 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $4.73 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 137 | $4.71 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 136 | $4.68 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $4.64 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $4.54 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 132 | $4.52 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $4.48 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $4.46 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 123 | $4.21 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 121 | $4.15 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $4.11 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $4.03 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $4.02 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $4.00 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $3.96 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $3.91 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $3.86 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $3.84 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $3.38 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $3.28 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $3.19 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $2.86 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $2.29 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $2.07 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $1.90 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $1.52 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $1.46 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $1.44 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $1.42 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $1.36 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.98× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $1.17 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.98 | 0.7% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.14× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $0.88 | 0.7% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.56× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.64 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.47 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.47 | 0.7% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.71× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/final-showdown`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=final-showdown)

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) [Jean Cache-Sexe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Jean%20%20Cache-Sexe) $6.00 $14.17 2.36x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

[MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) [ゼノール](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%82%BC%E3%83%8E%E3%83%BC%E3%83%AB) $6.00 $0.47 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-well-worn) [reykZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/reykZ) $6.00 $1.46 0.24x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) [Maestro Vojtin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maestro%20Vojtin) $6.00 $0.64 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:55 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.00 $1.36 0.23x 2026-11-11 08:48 UTC

[MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) [dario](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/dario) $6.00 $0.47 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:42 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) [dario](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/dario) $6.00 $4.73 0.79x 2026-11-11 08:41 UTC

[FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) [MakeUcrY](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MakeUcrY) $6.00 $34.50 5.75x 2026-11-11 08:15 UTC

[MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) [pffffffffffp](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pffffffffffp) $6.00 $0.97 0.16x 2026-11-11 07:31 UTC

[MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-battle-scarred) [BOTJason™](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BOTJason%E2%84%A2) $6.00 $0.47 0.08x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $6.00 | 87.97% | 132 |
| 11 Nov, 03:46 UTC | $6.00 | 88.03% | 132 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 7.3% classified 15.8% covert 0.2% restricted 41.4% Legendary 4.8% Restricted 1.9% Classified 2.0% pink 6.1% Mythical 2.1% #8847ff 5.0% violet 11.4% #d32ee6 2.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.97 on average: an expected loss of $12.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt