---
title: "First Strike case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "First Strike ($0.30) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.02% from 163 items with odds, observed 82.78% over 31.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [First Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · First Strike

A case on Hellcase (first-strike), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike?window=all)

Price · $0.30

Advertised RTP · 86.02% · EV $0.26 from 163 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.78% · 31.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.74% ±8.17 3,637 openings

7 days · 83.15% ±3.07 26.4K openings

30 days · 82.78% ±2.81 31.6K openings

since tracking started · 82.78% ±2.81 31.6K openings

71.0% 79.8% 88.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike?window=24h) | 3,637 | 79.74% ±8.17 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike?window=7d) | 26.4K | 83.15% ±3.07 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike) | 31.6K | 82.78% ±2.81 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/first-strike?window=all) | 31.6K | 82.78% ±2.81 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 163 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 31.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $34.50 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $33.75 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $32.75 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $24.80 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.53× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $18.13 | 0.5% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.35× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $16.81 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $15.28 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12,500 | $14.85 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.39× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $14.71 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.39× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 12,500 | $14.08 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $13.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $13.66 | 0.5% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.05× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $13.38 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.90 | 0.5% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.32× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $12.88 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.06 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.95 | 0.5% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.58× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $10.91 | 0.5% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $10.20 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.44× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $9.50 | 0.5% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $8.89 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $8.82 | 0.5% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $8.28 | 0.4% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $7.83 | 0.5% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $7.75 | 0.5% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $6.35 | 0.4% | 8 | 5.7 | 1.40× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $6.31 | 0.5% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $6.26 | 0.5% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $6.07 | 0.4% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $5.81 | 0.5% | 9 | 6.7 | 1.35× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $4.64 | 0.5% | 11 | 8.2 | 1.34× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 3,571 | $4.11 | 0.4% | 3 | 8.9 | 0.34× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $4.03 | 0.5% | 8 | 9.5 | 0.84× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $3.96 | 0.5% | 11 | 9.5 | 1.16× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-well-worn) | 1 in 3,226 | $3.86 | 0.5% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,226 | $3.85 | 0.5% | 4 | 9.8 | 0.41× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $3.84 | 0.5% | 13 | 9.8 | 1.32× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $3.81 | 0.5% | 15 | 9.8 | 1.53× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 3,125 | $3.72 | 0.5% | 14 | 10.1 | 1.38× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-well-worn) | 1 in 3,030 | $3.64 | 0.5% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,125 | $3.62 | 0.4% | 11 | 10.1 | 1.09× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $3.62 | 0.5% | 13 | 10.5 | 1.24× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $3.48 | 0.5% | 9 | 10.8 | 0.84× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 2,857 | $3.38 | 0.5% | 11 | 11.1 | 0.99× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $3.21 | 0.5% | 13 | 11.7 | 1.11× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,703 | $3.19 | 0.5% | 14 | 11.7 | 1.19× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,632 | $3.15 | 0.5% | 9 | 12.0 | 0.75× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $2.98 | 0.5% | 14 | 12.7 | 1.11× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 2,439 | $2.89 | 0.5% | 7 | 13.0 | 0.54× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-well-worn) | 1 in 2,128 | $2.53 | 0.5% | 16 | 14.9 | 1.08× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,083 | $2.46 | 0.5% | 9 | 15.2 | 0.59× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2.36 | 0.5% | 12 | 15.8 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $2.28 | 0.5% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,754 | $2.09 | 0.5% | 19 | 18.1 | 1.05× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $2.02 | 0.5% | 17 | 18.7 | 0.91× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,562 | $1.87 | 0.5% | 21 | 20.3 | 1.04× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 1,587 | $1.86 | 0.5% | 20 | 20.0 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,471 | $1.74 | 0.5% | 14 | 21.5 | 0.65× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,351 | $1.60 | 0.5% | 18 | 23.4 | 0.77× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 1,333 | $1.58 | 0.5% | 24 | 23.8 | 1.01× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $1.55 | 0.5% | 33 | 24.1 | 1.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-factory-new) | 1 in 1,282 | $1.53 | 0.5% | 24 | 24.7 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,266 | $1.50 | 0.5% | 24 | 25.0 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $1.49 | 0.5% | 30 | 25.3 | 1.18× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,190 | $1.41 | 0.5% | 17 | 26.6 | 0.64× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $1.38 | 0.5% | 29 | 27.2 | 1.06× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $1.38 | 0.5% | 31 | 27.2 | 1.14× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,149 | $1.36 | 0.5% | 16 | 27.6 | 0.58× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-field-tested) | 1 in 1,136 | $1.35 | 0.5% | 29 | 27.9 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,136 | $1.34 | 0.5% | 16 | 27.9 | 0.57× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 1,031 | $1.23 | 0.5% | 28 | 30.7 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,042 | $1.23 | 0.5% | 31 | 30.4 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 1,020 | $1.22 | 0.5% | 24 | 31.0 | 0.77× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) | 1 in 1,031 | $1.22 | 0.5% | 28 | 30.7 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $1.19 | 0.5% | 41 | 31.7 | 1.29× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 1 in 990 | $1.18 | 0.5% | 25 | 32.0 | 0.78× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $1.17 | 0.5% | 25 | 32.0 | 0.78× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $1.17 | 0.5% | 24 | 32.0 | 0.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 980 | $1.16 | 0.5% | 21 | 32.3 | 0.65× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-well-worn) | 1 in 971 | $1.15 | 0.5% | 32 | 32.6 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 1 in 962 | $1.14 | 0.5% | 26 | 32.9 | 0.79× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 935 | $1.11 | 0.5% | 42 | 33.9 | 1.24× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-well-worn) | 1 in 926 | $1.10 | 0.5% | 35 | 34.2 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-battle-scarred) | 1 in 917 | $1.09 | 0.5% | 27 | 34.5 | 0.78× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 901 | $1.07 | 0.5% | 37 | 35.2 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-well-worn) | 1 in 877 | $1.04 | 0.5% | 32 | 36.1 | 0.89× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-field-tested) | 1 in 877 | $1.04 | 0.5% | 37 | 36.1 | 1.02× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-battle-scarred) | 1 in 870 | $1.03 | 0.5% | 28 | 36.4 | 0.77× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-field-tested) | 1 in 870 | $1.03 | 0.5% | 28 | 36.4 | 0.77× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-well-worn) | 1 in 840 | $1.00 | 0.5% | 46 | 37.7 | 1.22× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 800 | $0.95 | 0.5% | 29 | 39.6 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $0.95 | 0.5% | 40 | 39.6 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $0.91 | 0.5% | 41 | 41.2 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) | 1 in 758 | $0.90 | 0.5% | 25 | 41.8 | 0.60× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 746 | $0.89 | 0.5% | 38 | 42.4 | 0.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 1 in 704 | $0.84 | 0.5% | 34 | 45.0 | 0.76× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) | 1 in 699 | $0.83 | 0.5% | 52 | 45.3 | 1.15× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 690 | $0.82 | 0.5% | 36 | 45.9 | 0.78× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $0.79 | 0.5% | 51 | 47.5 | 1.07× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-factory-new) | 1 in 649 | $0.77 | 0.5% | 50 | 48.8 | 1.03× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-well-worn) | 1 in 641 | $0.76 | 0.5% | 53 | 49.4 | 1.07× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-battle-scarred) | 1 in 621 | $0.74 | 0.5% | 54 | 51.0 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 625 | $0.74 | 0.5% | 50 | 50.7 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-field-tested) | 1 in 606 | $0.72 | 0.5% | 58 | 52.3 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 549 | $0.65 | 0.5% | 45 | 57.6 | 0.78× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 541 | $0.64 | 0.5% | 51 | 58.6 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) | 1 in 538 | $0.64 | 0.5% | 62 | 58.9 | 1.05× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 524 | $0.62 | 0.5% | 78 | 60.5 | 1.29× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 455 | $0.54 | 0.5% | 75 | 69.7 | 1.08× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 420 | $0.50 | 0.5% | 99 | 75.4 | 1.31× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 422 | $0.50 | 0.5% | 90 | 75.1 | 1.20× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-well-worn) | 1 in 388 | $0.46 | 0.5% | 73 | 81.7 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 379 | $0.45 | 0.5% | 105 | 83.6 | 1.26× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 362 | $0.43 | 0.5% | 89 | 87.4 | 1.02× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 355 | $0.42 | 0.5% | 85 | 89.3 | 0.95× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) | 1 in 353 | $0.42 | 0.5% | 84 | 89.6 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) | 1 in 346 | $0.41 | 0.5% | 97 | 91.5 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 337 | $0.40 | 0.5% | 98 | 94.1 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 312 | $0.37 | 0.5% | 99 | 101.7 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 1 in 313 | $0.37 | 0.5% | 113 | 101.3 | 1.12× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 303 | $0.36 | 0.5% | 98 | 104.5 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 295 | $0.35 | 0.5% | 99 | 107.4 | 0.92× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 295 | $0.35 | 0.5% | 86 | 107.4 | 0.80× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-well-worn) | 1 in 278 | $0.33 | 0.5% | 108 | 114.0 | 0.95× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-battle-scarred) | 1 in 278 | $0.33 | 0.5% | 120 | 114.0 | 1.05× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 278 | $0.33 | 0.5% | 96 | 114.0 | 0.84× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-well-worn) | 1 in 278 | $0.33 | 0.5% | 112 | 114.0 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-well-worn) | 1 in 278 | $0.33 | 0.5% | 116 | 114.0 | 1.02× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 270 | $0.32 | 0.5% | 114 | 117.5 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $0.32 | 0.5% | 132 | 117.5 | 1.12× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-factory-new) | 1 in 261 | $0.31 | 0.5% | 124 | 121.3 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-well-worn) | 1 in 219 | $0.26 | 0.5% | 227 | 144.7 | 1.57× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-battle-scarred) | 1 in 219 | $0.26 | 0.5% | 345 | 144.7 | 2.38× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $0.25 | 1.3% | 450 | 422.8 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $0.21 | 1.3% | 458 | 503.5 | 0.91× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $0.20 | 1.3% | 549 | 528.5 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-metallic-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $0.20 | 1.3% | 535 | 528.5 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.18 | 1.3% | 605 | 587.1 | 1.03× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.18 | 1.3% | 609 | 587.1 | 1.04× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.18 | 1.3% | 583 | 587.1 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $0.17 | 1.3% | 612 | 621.9 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $0.16 | 1.3% | 635 | 660.6 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $0.16 | 1.3% | 671 | 660.6 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $0.15 | 1.3% | 746 | 704.6 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $0.14 | 1.3% | 872 | 754.9 | 1.16× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.13 | 1.3% | 812 | 812.9 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-metallic-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $0.13 | 1.3% | 812 | 813.2 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.12 | 1.3% | 825 | 880.7 | 0.94× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.12 | 1.3% | 875 | 880.7 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 931 | 1057.0 | 0.88× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 1,084 | 1057.0 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 1,060 | 1057.0 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 954 | 1057.0 | 0.90× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 1,087 | 1057.0 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 1,108 | 1057.0 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 1,032 | 1057.0 | 0.98× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.10 | 1.3% | 1,008 | 1057.0 | 0.95× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.09 | 1.3% | 1,078 | 1174.5 | 0.92× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.09 | 1.3% | 1,195 | 1174.5 | 1.02× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.09 | 1.3% | 1,148 | 1174.5 | 0.98× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.09 | 1.3% | 1,299 | 1174.2 | 1.11× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.08 | 1.3% | 1,355 | 1321.5 | 1.03× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.06 | 1.3% | 1,600 | 1762.0 | 0.91× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/first-strike`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) [pushiin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pushiin) $0.30 $41.36 137.9x 2026-11-05 07:45 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) [Hyper-V SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hyper-V%20%20SKINS) $0.30 $32.75 109.2x 2026-11-10 13:04 UTC

[FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) [Revolvable](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Revolvable) $0.30 $29.13 97.10x 2026-11-09 14:49 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [chadwalker294](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/chadwalker294) $0.30 $24.80 82.67x 2026-11-10 09:54 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [Ragnar Lothbrok](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ragnar%20Lothbrok) $0.30 $24.49 81.63x 2026-11-06 23:10 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [Thomaz ヅ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Thomaz%20%E3%83%85) $0.30 $24.37 81.23x 2026-11-08 02:34 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [thegreensangel.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/thegreensangel.) $0.30 $24.37 81.23x 2026-11-07 22:45 UTC

[M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-factory-new) [Davolta](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Davolta) $0.30 $18.13 60.43x 2026-11-11 04:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [Beculet](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Beculet) $0.30 $16.81 56.03x 2026-11-09 11:34 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [kapkowski.tomek2006](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kapkowski.tomek2006) $0.30 $16.54 55.13x 2026-11-04 14:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=first-strike)

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-well-worn) [mastergpl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/mastergpl) $0.30 $0.10 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) [mastergpl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/mastergpl) $0.30 $3.62 12.07x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[MP7 | Motherboard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-minimal-wear) [mastergpl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/mastergpl) $0.30 $0.12 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-battle-scarred) [TechN9ne](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/TechN9ne) $0.30 $0.10 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-well-worn) [TechN9ne](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/TechN9ne) $0.30 $0.09 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[MP7 | Motherboard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-battle-scarred) [TechN9ne](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/TechN9ne) $0.30 $0.09 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[MP7 | Motherboard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-battle-scarred) [TechN9ne](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/TechN9ne) $0.30 $0.09 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-battle-scarred) [2unlucky](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/2unlucky) $0.30 $0.14 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) [w3bzu](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/w3bzu) $0.30 $0.10 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[MP7 | Motherboard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-battle-scarred) [mastergpl](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/mastergpl) $0.30 $0.09 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $0.30 | 86.02% | 163 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $0.30 | 85.91% | 163 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $0.30 | 85.97% | 163 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $0.30 | 86.09% | 163 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $0.30 | 86.02% | 163 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $0.30 | 85.91% | 163 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $0.30 | 85.88% | 163 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $0.30 | 85.93% | 163 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $0.30 | 85.95% | 163 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $0.30 | 86.08% | 163 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 3.9% restricted 0.6% violet 0.9% classified 0.2% industrial 10.0% pink 0.0% #4b69ff 5.5% mil spec 6.6% Mythical 0.3% Rare 12.2% blue 6.3% Classified 0.0% #8847ff 0.3% Mil Spec Grade 3.4% milspec 32.6% Uncommon 0.3% #87c7ff 12.9% Industrial Grade 4.0% best hit $41.36 (137.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.02 on average: an expected loss of $13.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt