--- title: "Fracture case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fracture ($2.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 58.83% over 115 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture rendered: 2026-11-11T22:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Fracture](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Fracture A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 58.83% · 115 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 85 openings · below min 30 days · 115 openings · below min since tracking started · 115 openings · below min -0.5% 55.0% 110.5% **Small sample.** 115 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture?window=24h) | 4 | 43.75% ±66.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture?window=7d) | 85 | 53.33% ±19.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture) | 115 | 58.83% ±17.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/fracture?window=all) | 115 | 58.83% ±17.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=fracture) [Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-ultralight-factory-new) [Pukooos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Pukooos) $2.00 $0.37 0.19x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-well-worn) [Pukooos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Pukooos) $2.00 $0.12 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) [Impossible.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Impossible.) $2.00 $0.12 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC [Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-factory-new) [K@S@PI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/K%40S%40PI) $2.00 $2.89 1.45x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-freight-factory-new) [Nessu](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nessu) $2.00 $1.10 0.55x 2026-11-10 21:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-ultralight-well-worn) [Я не русский, я француз](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%AF%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%20%D1%80%D1%83%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%2C%20%D1%8F%20%D1%84%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%86%D1%83%D0%B7) $2.00 $0.12 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [Ánuszrózsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%C3%81nuszr%C3%B3zsa) $2.00 $0.16 0.08x 2026-11-10 11:52 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-gnarled-battle-scarred) [Ánuszrózsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%C3%81nuszr%C3%B3zsa) $2.00 $0.12 0.06x 2026-11-10 11:52 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) [vvoore](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/vvoore) $2.00 $0.21 0.11x 2026-11-10 10:35 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-gnarled-well-worn) [PEARL\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/PEARL_) $2.00 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-10 01:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 58.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $58.83 on average: an expected loss of $41.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt