---
title: "Freehand case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Freehand ($89.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 94 items with odds, observed 77.94% over 60 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Freehand](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Freehand

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd?window=all)

Price · $89.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $78.32 from 94 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.94% · 60 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 36 openings · below min

30 days · 60 openings · below min

since tracking started · 60 openings · below min

-0.5% 121.0% 242.5%

**Small sample.** 60 openings and 12.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd?window=24h) | 3 | 108.43% ±133.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd?window=7d) | 36 | 70.03% ±34.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd) | 60 | 77.94% ±27.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/freehandd?window=all) | 60 | 77.94% ±27.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 94 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,389 | $829 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 1,389 | $828 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,351 | $817 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $795 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,266 | $754 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 1,235 | $734 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,205 | $720 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 1,124 | $678 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 1,111 | $671 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 1,111 | $664 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 962 | $577 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 962 | $575 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 952 | $575 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $569 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 935 | $565 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 826 | $494 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 820 | $493 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 763 | $458 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 735 | $440 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 730 | $437 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 680 | $409 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $402 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 654 | $393 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 469 | $283 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 448 | $269 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 422 | $252 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 408 | $245 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 389 | $233 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 379 | $227 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 377 | $227 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 375 | $225 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 357 | $214 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 353 | $212 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 328 | $197 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 309 | $185 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 290 | $174 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 285 | $171 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 284 | $171 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 281 | $169 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 265 | $159 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 263 | $158 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 248 | $148 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 224 | $134 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 208 | $125 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 206 | $124 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 203 | $122 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 194 | $117 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 194 | $116 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 190 | $114 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 183 | $110 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $109 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 177 | $106 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 174 | $104 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 173 | $104 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 168 | $101 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $98.73 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $97.15 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 161 | $96.31 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 159 | $95.86 | 0.8% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 159 | $95.47 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 152 | $91.00 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $90.88 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 151 | $90.35 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 151 | $90.32 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 150 | $89.90 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 148 | $88.89 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 148 | $88.72 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 147 | $88.36 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $88.31 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $82.90 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $82.45 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $81.80 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $81.56 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $81.48 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 134 | $80.26 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $80.12 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $77.34 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $76.27 | 2.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.10× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $76.26 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $75.29 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.38× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $74.24 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.36× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $70.66 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $68.35 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $66.99 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $63.24 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $61.81 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $60.54 | 2.3% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.22× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $50.49 | 2.3% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $46.49 | 2.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $40.64 | 2.3% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $32.36 | 2.3% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $25.46 | 2.3% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.63× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $21.66 | 2.3% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $20.56 | 2.3% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.32× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/freehandd`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=freehandd)

[★ Flip Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-well-worn) [SzalonyKefir](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SzalonyKefir) $89.00 $159 1.78x 2026-11-11 08:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) [bongomurzynkongo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/bongomurzynkongo) $55.00 $68.35 1.24x 2026-11-11 04:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) [KiryuSenpai](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KiryuSenpai) $89.00 $25.46 0.29x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) [L3oonn](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/L3oonn) $89.00 $75.83 0.85x 2026-11-09 17:50 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $89.00 $74.83 0.84x 2026-11-09 08:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $89.00 $20.36 0.23x 2026-11-09 08:47 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $89.00 $106 1.19x 2026-11-09 08:47 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-battle-scarred) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $89.00 $60.54 0.68x 2026-11-09 08:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) [Halfo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Halfo) $89.00 $25.63 0.29x 2026-11-08 11:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) [\\\\^^Bossini^^//](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%5C%5C%5E%5EBossini%5E%5E%2F%2F) $89.00 $50.49 0.57x 2026-11-08 00:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $89.00 | 87.99% | 94 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $89.00 | 88.06% | 94 |
| 3 Nov, 22:52 UTC | $89.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $74.76 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $74.76 | 88.00% | 94 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 24.5% covert 10.4% Covert 0.1% gold 8.2% classified 35.6% rare 1.3% Classified 8.0% Immortal 2.4% sunny 5.6% Legendary 3.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt