--- title: "Gamma Doppler case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gamma Doppler ($170.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 37 items with odds, observed 115.18% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler rendered: 2026-11-11T13:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Gamma Doppler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Gamma Doppler A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler?window=all) Price · $170.00 Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $149.60 from 37 items Observed RTP, 30d · 115.18% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 25 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 90.3% 181.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 7.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler?window=24h) | 3 | 57.07% ±123.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler?window=7d) | 25 | 115.30% ±43.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler) | 30 | 115.18% ±39.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/gamma-doppler?window=all) | 30 | 115.18% ±39.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 855 | $2,638 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 637 | $1,959 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $1,474 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 444 | $1,375 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $1,289 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 355 | $1,095 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 219 | $676 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 187 | $577 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $492 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153 | $473 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153 | $471 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 152 | $469 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 127 | $394 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $315 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $278 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $246 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $238 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $221 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $220 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $219 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $200 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $197 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $195 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $188 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $158 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $150 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $133 | 4.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $109 | 4.2% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $96.73 | 4.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $95.63 | 4.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $94.00 | 4.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $93.73 | 4.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $89.10 | 4.2% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $88.42 | 4.2% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.87× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $81.56 | 4.2% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.30× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $80.82 | 4.2% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.71× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $74.48 | 4.2% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× | Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/gamma-doppler`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [bebe4csgo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/bebe4csgo) $170 $1,475 8.68x 2026-11-09 22:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Sleazyツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Sleazy%E3%83%84) $170 $580 3.41x 2026-11-03 18:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=gamma-doppler) [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $170 $93.73 0.55x 2026-11-11 06:32 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $170 $88.42 0.52x 2026-11-11 06:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Jxzuno](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Jxzuno) $170 $109 0.64x 2026-11-10 18:05 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [bebe4csgo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/bebe4csgo) $170 $1,475 8.68x 2026-11-09 22:38 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-battle-scarred) [kick : Twillv98](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kick%20%3A%20Twillv98) $170 $81.09 0.48x 2026-11-09 13:36 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) [kick : Twillv98](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kick%20%3A%20Twillv98) $170 $88.42 0.52x 2026-11-09 13:36 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) [ʙʀʏᴍᴀ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%CA%99%CA%80%CA%8F%E1%B4%8D%E1%B4%80) $170 $74.48 0.44x 2026-11-08 16:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) [dkrasniqi04](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/dkrasniqi04) $170 $97.58 0.57x 2026-11-07 17:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [Blue](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Blue) $170 $200 1.18x 2026-11-07 13:24 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [Thumb guy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Thumb%20guy) $170 $136 0.80x 2026-11-07 07:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $170 | 88.00% | 37 | | 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $170 | 88.02% | 37 | | 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $170 | 88.01% | 37 | | 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $170 | 88.00% | 37 | | 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $170 | 88.00% | 37 | | 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $170 | 88.00% | 37 | | 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $170 | 87.99% | 37 | | 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $170 | 87.99% | 37 | | 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $170 | 87.95% | 37 | | 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $170 | 88.01% | 37 | | 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $170 | 88.01% | 37 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 23.2% Covert 15.9% #ffd700 1.0% legendary 0.3% gold 8.3% sunny 4.6% extraordinary 15.8% Immortal 2.1% covert 13.6% red 6.7% #eb4b4b 8.5% best hit $1,475 (8.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt