--- title: "Guerrilla case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Guerrilla ($0.30) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.36% over 1,161 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Guerrilla](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Guerrilla A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla?window=all) Price · $0.30 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.36% · 1,161 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 129 openings · below min 7 days · 996 openings · below min 30 days · 82.36% ±8.99 1,161 openings since tracking started · 82.36% ±8.99 1,161 openings 53.5% 96.5% 139.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla?window=24h) | 129 | 96.49% ±42.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla?window=7d) | 996 | 82.08% ±10.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla) | 1,161 | 82.36% ±8.99 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/guerrilla?window=all) | 1,161 | 82.36% ±8.99 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=guerrilla) [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) [FoxHunt fdp](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/FoxHunt%20fdp) $0.30 $0.08 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC [AUG | Triqua (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-well-worn) [7★𝘒MO★](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/7%E2%98%85%F0%9D%98%92MO%E2%98%85) $0.30 $0.24 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-battle-scarred) [maxelkiroi76](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/maxelkiroi76) $0.30 $0.12 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-orange-peel-field-tested) [maxelkiroi76](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/maxelkiroi76) $0.30 $0.06 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [SSG 08 | Halftone Whorl (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-halftone-whorl-field-tested) [ツ kokorv ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%83%84%20kokorv%20%E3%83%84) $0.30 $0.17 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) [Couchpotado](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Couchpotado) $0.30 $0.12 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) [Couchpotado](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Couchpotado) $0.30 $4.11 13.70x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [UMP-45 | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-briefing-battle-scarred) [Synoic](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Synoic) $0.30 $0.33 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) [Synoic](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Synoic) $0.30 $0.44 1.47x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-field-tested) Hidden $0.30 $0.08 0.27x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.36 on average: an expected loss of $17.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt