---
title: "Hutong case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hutong ($0.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.98% from 62 items with odds, observed 87.26% over 3,015 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Hutong](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Hutong

A case on Hellcase (esports), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong?window=all)

Price · $0.50

Advertised RTP · 87.98% · EV $0.44 from 62 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.26% · 3,015 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 110.16% ±47.65 123 openings

7 days · 90.61% ±10.86 2,384 openings

30 days · 87.26% ±9.67 3,015 openings

since tracking started · 87.26% ±9.67 3,015 openings

62.0% 110.3% 158.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong?window=24h) | 123 | 110.16% ±47.6 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong?window=7d) | 2,384 | 90.61% ±10.9 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong) | 3,015 | 87.26% ±9.67 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hutong?window=all) | 3,015 | 87.26% ±9.67 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 62 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,029 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $61.23 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $26.68 | 2.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-well-worn) | 1 in 2,632 | $24.48 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $24.04 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $22.85 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) | 1 in 971 | $8.82 | 2.1% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 826 | $7.51 | 2.1% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.55× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) | 1 in 806 | $7.33 | 2.1% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $6.08 | 2.1% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 385 | $3.50 | 2.1% | 15 | 7.9 | 1.90× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 1 in 361 | $3.28 | 2.1% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 1 in 325 | $2.95 | 2.1% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 234 | $2.13 | 2.1% | 11 | 12.9 | 0.85× |
| [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 181 | $1.64 | 2.1% | 20 | 16.8 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $1.23 | 2.1% | 29 | 22.4 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $1.16 | 2.1% | 32 | 23.7 | 1.35× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 124 | $1.13 | 2.1% | 21 | 24.4 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-factory-new) | 1 in 124 | $1.13 | 2.1% | 24 | 24.4 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $1.00 | 2.1% | 24 | 27.5 | 0.87× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $0.96 | 2.1% | 35 | 28.7 | 1.22× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $0.86 | 2.1% | 37 | 32.0 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $0.73 | 2.1% | 39 | 37.7 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $0.71 | 2.1% | 40 | 38.7 | 1.03× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $0.71 | 2.1% | 44 | 38.8 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $0.70 | 2.1% | 52 | 39.3 | 1.32× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $0.67 | 2.1% | 61 | 41.1 | 1.49× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $0.64 | 2.1% | 44 | 43.0 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $0.55 | 2.1% | 33 | 50.0 | 0.66× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $0.55 | 2.1% | 48 | 50.0 | 0.96× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $0.54 | 2.1% | 56 | 51.0 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $0.50 | 2.1% | 51 | 55.0 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $0.45 | 2.1% | 39 | 61.2 | 0.64× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $0.44 | 1.1% | 40 | 34.3 | 1.17× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $0.44 | 1.1% | 33 | 34.2 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $0.44 | 1.1% | 44 | 34.3 | 1.28× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $0.44 | 1.1% | 26 | 34.3 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $0.38 | 1.1% | 39 | 39.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-battle-scarred) | 1 in 76 | $0.38 | 1.1% | 42 | 39.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $0.35 | 1.1% | 43 | 43.0 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $0.33 | 1.1% | 52 | 45.6 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $0.33 | 1.1% | 43 | 45.6 | 0.94× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $0.32 | 1.1% | 50 | 47.1 | 1.06× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $0.31 | 1.1% | 48 | 48.6 | 0.99× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $0.30 | 1.1% | 57 | 50.2 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $0.29 | 1.1% | 57 | 51.9 | 1.10× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $0.28 | 1.1% | 49 | 53.8 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $0.23 | 1.1% | 63 | 65.5 | 0.96× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $0.23 | 1.1% | 56 | 65.5 | 0.86× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $0.22 | 1.1% | 78 | 68.5 | 1.14× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $0.18 | 1.1% | 79 | 83.7 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.18 | 1.1% | 89 | 83.7 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $0.16 | 1.1% | 91 | 94.2 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.15 | 1.1% | 107 | 100.4 | 1.07× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $0.15 | 1.1% | 95 | 100.4 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.13 | 1.1% | 98 | 115.9 | 0.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.13 | 1.1% | 125 | 115.9 | 1.08× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.13 | 1.1% | 125 | 115.9 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 1.1% | 98 | 125.6 | 0.78× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 1.1% | 108 | 125.6 | 0.86× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 1.1% | 114 | 125.6 | 0.91× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 1.1% | 124 | 125.6 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.10 | 1.1% | 169 | 150.7 | 1.12× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/hutong`, 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) [Nethok](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nethok) $0.50 $27.60 55.20x 2026-11-06 23:29 UTC

[Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) [knd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/knd) $0.50 $26.68 53.36x 2026-11-09 02:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=hutong)

[USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $0.18 0.36x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-factory-new) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $1.23 2.46x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $0.15 0.30x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mudder (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-well-worn) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $0.12 0.24x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $0.18 0.36x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $0.13 0.26x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $0.13 0.26x 2026-11-10 22:17 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mudder (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-well-worn) [A chupa?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/A%20chupa%3F) $0.50 $0.12 0.24x 2026-11-10 22:14 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [RegeLe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/RegeLe) $0.50 $0.22 0.44x 2026-11-10 22:13 UTC

[Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) [How my hands so very bad?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/How%20my%20hands%20so%20very%20bad%3F) $0.50 $0.13 0.26x 2026-11-10 22:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $0.50 | 87.98% | 62 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $0.50 | 88.41% | 62 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $0.50 | 88.03% | 62 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $0.50 | 87.91% | 62 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $0.50 | 88.01% | 62 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $0.50 | 87.99% | 62 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $0.50 | 88.01% | 62 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $0.50 | 88.00% | 62 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $0.50 | 88.05% | 62 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $0.50 | 87.96% | 62 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $0.50 | 87.94% | 62 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 2.2% rare 0.2% industrial 28.6% milspec 27.9% #87c7ff 10.8% mil spec 7.3% consumer 1.6% Mil Spec Grade 4.6% #4b69ff 7.0% Rare 2.6% blue 4.5% Mil Spec 2.8% best hit $27.60 (55.20x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.98 on average: an expected loss of $12.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt