--- title: "Hydra case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hydra ($6.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.27% over 145 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Hydra](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Hydra A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra?window=all) Price · $6.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.27% · 145 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 135 openings · below min 30 days · 145 openings · below min since tracking started · 145 openings · below min 61.5% 86.5% 111.5% **Small sample.** 145 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra?window=24h) | 30 | 67.45% ±2.03 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra?window=7d) | 135 | 86.39% ±24.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra) | 145 | 86.27% ±22.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hydra?window=all) | 145 | 86.27% ±22.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=hydra) [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-field-tested) [Maracuja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maracuja) $6.50 $4.99 0.77x 2026-11-11 09:04 UTC [UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-well-worn) [ZoZ1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ZoZ1k) $6.50 $4.86 0.75x 2026-11-11 08:43 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-battle-scarred) [dario](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/dario) $6.50 $4.24 0.65x 2026-11-11 08:42 UTC [MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-field-tested) [marz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/marz) $6.50 $4.27 0.66x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Briefing (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) [marz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/marz) $6.50 $4.90 0.75x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-macabre-field-tested) [marz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/marz) $6.50 $4.07 0.63x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) [marz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/marz) $6.50 $3.98 0.61x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [FAMAS | Macabre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-field-tested) [marz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/marz) $6.50 $4.61 0.71x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-battle-scarred) [marz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/marz) $6.50 $4.10 0.63x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) [marz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/marz) $6.50 $4.61 0.71x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.27 on average: an expected loss of $13.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt