---
title: "Illusion case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Illusion ($9.95) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 56.12% over 184 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion
rendered: 2026-11-13T04:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Illusion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Illusion

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion?window=all)

Price · $9.95

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 56.12% · 184 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 121 openings · below min

30 days · 184 openings · below min

since tracking started · 184 openings · below min

11.5% 68.5% 125.5%

**Small sample.** 184 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion?window=24h) | 12 | 68.53% ±56.2 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion?window=7d) | 121 | 55.66% ±8.35 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion) | 184 | 56.12% ±7.67 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/illusion?window=all) | 184 | 56.12% ±7.67 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=illusion)

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/poizn) $9.95 $7.07 0.71x 2026-11-13 02:41 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/poizn) $9.95 $6.43 0.65x 2026-11-13 02:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) [Cramik](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Cramik) $9.95 $4.74 0.48x 2026-11-13 01:04 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) [ToToS0](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ToToS0) $5.00 $4.11 0.82x 2026-11-12 23:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) [Xeers](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Xeers) $55.00 $8.27 0.15x 2026-11-12 21:52 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) [DestinyBreeD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/DestinyBreeD) $9.95 $12.49 1.26x 2026-11-12 20:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) [L4zy\_genius](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/L4zy_genius) $9.95 $38.40 3.86x 2026-11-12 17:21 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) [Pay2Win](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Pay2Win) $9.95 $4.74 0.48x 2026-11-12 12:05 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) [kolio8888](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kolio8888) $9.95 $4.25 0.43x 2026-11-12 11:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) [I Say Ni](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/I%20Say%20Ni) $9.95 $7.07 0.71x 2026-11-12 08:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 56.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $56.12 on average: an expected loss of $43.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
