--- title: "Iron Alchemy case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Iron Alchemy ($22.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.17% over 87 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Iron Alchemy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Iron Alchemy A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy?window=all) Price · $22.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.17% · 87 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 87 openings · below min since tracking started · 87 openings · below min 21.0% 70.0% 119.0% **Small sample.** 87 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy?window=24h) | 8 | 41.55% ±19.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy?window=7d) | 66 | 82.22% ±36.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy) | 87 | 78.17% ±29.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/iron-alchemy?window=all) | 87 | 78.17% ±29.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=iron-alchemy) [StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-field-tested) [Саня Кирпич](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%A1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%9A%D0%B8%D1%80%D0%BF%D0%B8%D1%87) $22.00 $2.28 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:44 UTC [MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-minimal-wear) [Саня Кирпич](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%A1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%9A%D0%B8%D1%80%D0%BF%D0%B8%D1%87) $22.00 $5.32 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) [Attila Penzes](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Attila%20Penzes) $22.00 $3.49 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) [𝐏𝐎𝐌𝐀𝐑𝐊](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%9D%90%8F%F0%9D%90%8E%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%90%80%F0%9D%90%91%F0%9D%90%8A) $22.00 $16.22 0.74x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-well-worn) [𝐏𝐎𝐌𝐀𝐑𝐊](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%9D%90%8F%F0%9D%90%8E%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%90%80%F0%9D%90%91%F0%9D%90%8A) $22.00 $2.57 0.12x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-deaths-head-battle-scarred) [𝐏𝐎𝐌𝐀𝐑𝐊](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%9D%90%8F%F0%9D%90%8E%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%90%80%F0%9D%90%91%F0%9D%90%8A) $22.00 $16.35 0.74x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) [Treacherous Twin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Treacherous%20Twin) $22.00 $12.97 0.59x 2026-11-11 04:17 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) [Treacherous Twin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Treacherous%20Twin) $22.00 $13.92 0.63x 2026-11-11 04:17 UTC [SSG 08 | Death's Head (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-well-worn) [Levent](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Levent) $22.00 $22.85 1.04x 2026-11-10 13:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) [★☜GoldenBurger☞★](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%98%85%E2%98%9CGoldenBurger%E2%98%9E%E2%98%85) $22.00 $3.49 0.16x 2026-11-10 13:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.17 on average: an expected loss of $21.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt