---
title: "Jade Protocol case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jade Protocol ($21.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.97% from 130 items with odds, observed 76.17% over 82 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Jade Protocol](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Jade Protocol

A case on Hellcase (esports), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol?window=all)

Price · $21.00

Advertised RTP · 87.97% · EV $18.47 from 130 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.17% · 82 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 7 openings · below min

7 days · 64 openings · below min

30 days · 82 openings · below min

since tracking started · 82 openings · below min

-0.5% 104.0% 208.5%

**Small sample.** 82 openings and 7.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol?window=24h) | 7 | 83.75% ±124.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol?window=7d) | 64 | 83.57% ±40.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol) | 82 | 76.17% ±36.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/jade-protocol?window=all) | 82 | 76.17% ±36.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 130 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 82 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $938 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $470 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $455 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 4,000 | $441 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $374 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $338 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $309 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $289 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $282 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $232 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,041 | $226 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $219 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $214 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $212 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $212 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 1,887 | $210 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 1,852 | $204 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $193 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 1,754 | $192 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $179 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,587 | $176 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,587 | $175 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,587 | $174 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,515 | $167 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 1,493 | $164 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,471 | $162 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $158 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $158 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,351 | $150 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 1,282 | $143 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,282 | $142 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $139 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 1,235 | $135 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 1,176 | $131 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 1,176 | $130 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,163 | $129 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 1,163 | $129 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,136 | $126 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,111 | $124 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $121 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $121 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $118 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 1,042 | $116 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,031 | $114 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $110 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $109 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 952 | $106 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 870 | $96.35 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 847 | $93.45 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $92.48 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 826 | $91.25 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 741 | $81.97 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 735 | $81.63 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 735 | $81.42 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 735 | $81.37 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 730 | $80.66 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 730 | $80.61 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 725 | $80.60 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 725 | $80.57 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 730 | $80.39 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 719 | $79.96 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 719 | $79.32 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 680 | $75.66 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 658 | $72.82 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 654 | $72.26 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 633 | $70.09 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $69.28 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 621 | $68.80 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 606 | $67.19 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 602 | $66.69 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 599 | $66.43 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 599 | $66.14 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 585 | $64.96 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 571 | $63.10 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 559 | $61.76 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 559 | $61.54 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 556 | $61.53 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 549 | $60.82 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 529 | $58.72 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 532 | $58.61 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $55.31 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 490 | $54.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 474 | $52.39 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 472 | $52.37 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $51.35 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $51.13 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 455 | $50.36 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 450 | $49.78 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 427 | $47.29 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 420 | $46.45 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 417 | $45.96 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 407 | $45.02 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 407 | $44.96 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 397 | $44.03 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 397 | $43.89 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 388 | $42.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 383 | $42.54 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 379 | $41.80 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 373 | $41.25 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 370 | $40.99 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 362 | $40.13 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 361 | $40.03 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 361 | $39.87 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $38.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 350 | $38.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 345 | $38.09 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) | 1 in 318 | $35.17 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 305 | $33.77 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 278 | $30.74 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 261 | $28.92 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 243 | $26.84 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 240 | $26.51 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 238 | $26.26 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 197 | $21.80 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 192 | $21.22 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 185 | $20.48 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $20.01 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172 | $19.05 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 171 | $18.98 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 170 | $18.83 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 170 | $18.83 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $18.72 | 0.6% | 4 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $17.93 | 3.4% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $11.01 | 3.4% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $8.28 | 3.4% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $7.99 | 3.4% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $7.83 | 3.4% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.23× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 13.7% | $4.53 | 3.4% | 5 | 11.3 | 0.44× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 15.6% | $3.98 | 3.4% | 10 | 12.8 | 0.78× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 16.1% | $3.87 | 3.4% | 17 | 13.2 | 1.29× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/jade-protocol`, 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=jade-protocol)

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) [jendrula](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/jendrula) $21.00 $40.99 1.95x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) [SzczurJWP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SzczurJWP) $21.00 $49.78 2.37x 2026-11-10 19:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [SzczurJWP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SzczurJWP) $21.00 $8.28 0.39x 2026-11-10 19:16 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) [SzczurJWP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SzczurJWP) $21.00 $7.83 0.37x 2026-11-10 19:16 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) [SzczurJWP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SzczurJWP) $21.00 $7.83 0.37x 2026-11-10 19:15 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) [SzczurJWP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SzczurJWP) $21.00 $3.87 0.18x 2026-11-10 19:15 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) [Wemby Fc](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Wemby%20Fc) $21.00 $4.53 0.22x 2026-11-10 14:01 UTC

[MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) [ZEUS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ZEUS) $21.00 $43.89 2.09x 2026-11-10 09:36 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [The Horse](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/The%20Horse) $21.00 $3.98 0.19x 2026-11-09 21:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) [Baron Heinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Baron%20Heinz) $21.00 $26.51 1.26x 2026-11-09 17:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $21.00 | 87.97% | 130 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $21.00 | 87.98% | 130 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $21.00 | 88.01% | 130 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $21.00 | 87.99% | 130 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $21.00 | 87.97% | 130 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $21.00 | 87.98% | 130 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $21.00 | 87.97% | 130 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $21.00 | 88.03% | 130 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $21.00 | 88.02% | 130 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $21.00 | 88.01% | 130 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $21.00 | 88.01% | 130 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 10.2% classified 42.8% covert knife 0.0% red 2.0% #eb4b4b 0.8% Covert 0.8% Ancient 0.9% pink 41.7% Legendary 0.4% #d32ee6 0.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.97 on average: an expected loss of $12.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt