---
title: "日本語 case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "日本語 ($6.47) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 81.97% from 147 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [日本語](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · 日本語

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese?window=all)

Price · $6.47

Advertised RTP · 81.97% · EV $5.30 from 147 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/japanese?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 147 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $328 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $273 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $200 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $198 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $193 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $191 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $187 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $164 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $151 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $146 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $143 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $140 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $139 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $136 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $135 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $132 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $131 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $129 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $127 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $126 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $125 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $124 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $123 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $123 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $122 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $122 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $116 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $113 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,762 | $112 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $111 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $106 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,348 | $102 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 3,704 | $85.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $81.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 3,571 | $80.86 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $80.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $79.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $77.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $76.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $71.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 3,030 | $70.77 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $69.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $68.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $68.59 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $68.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,941 | $67.25 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,941 | $66.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 2,857 | $66.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $65.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,703 | $63.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,703 | $62.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 2,632 | $61.71 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $61.05 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $60.68 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $59.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $58.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $58.61 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 2,381 | $55.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $55.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 2,381 | $55.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 2,326 | $54.03 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 2,273 | $52.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,273 | $52.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,222 | $51.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 2,174 | $51.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 2,174 | $50.49 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 2,174 | $50.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 2,174 | $49.78 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $46.49 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,887 | $43.85 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,887 | $43.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-well-worn) | 1 in 1,818 | $41.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-factory-new) | 1 in 1,754 | $40.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,754 | $40.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $37.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,639 | $37.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-well-worn) | 1 in 1,587 | $36.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 1,538 | $35.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,449 | $33.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,389 | $32.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $30.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 1,316 | $30.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,282 | $29.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $29.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,220 | $28.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,220 | $28.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $25.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 1,099 | $25.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 980 | $22.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 935 | $21.66 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-well-worn) | 1 in 901 | $20.85 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 885 | $20.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 870 | $20.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 862 | $19.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 763 | $17.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $16.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 699 | $16.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 1 in 685 | $15.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 676 | $15.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 662 | $15.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 649 | $15.08 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 592 | $13.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 543 | $12.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 505 | $11.74 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) | 1 in 505 | $11.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 498 | $11.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 493 | $11.42 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $11.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 483 | $11.25 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) | 1 in 472 | $10.91 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 469 | $10.91 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 448 | $10.37 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 410 | $9.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 397 | $9.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 395 | $9.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 370 | $8.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 356 | $8.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 351 | $8.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 341 | $7.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 293 | $6.81 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 270 | $6.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 259 | $6.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-battle-scarred) | 1 in 257 | $5.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-well-worn) | 1 in 255 | $5.92 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $4.93 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $4.91 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $4.81 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $4.60 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $4.55 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $4.00 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $3.96 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $3.81 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $3.72 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $3.69 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $3.62 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $2.55 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $2.51 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $2.48 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $2.45 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $2.12 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $2.08 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $1.83 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-well-worn) | 10.5% | $1.12 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-battle-scarred) | 10.8% | $1.09 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/japanese`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=japanese)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $6.47 | 81.97% | 147 |
| 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $6.47 | 82.00% | 147 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.0% covert 1.3% classified 0.8% Ancient 0.0% restricted 38.9% Classified 0.1% sunny 0.0% covert knife 0.3% pink 0.5% Legendary 0.1% Mil Spec Grade 0.1% mil spec 7.3% #4b69ff 0.1% Mythical 10.9% Restricted 0.2% violet 13.2% milspec 7.8% #8847ff 8.0% Rare 4.8% blue 5.6%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.97 on average: an expected loss of $18.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt