--- title: "The Lake Collection case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Lake Collection ($0.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.95% over 400 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection rendered: 2026-11-11T14:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [The Lake Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · The Lake Collection A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection?window=all) Price · $0.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.95% · 400 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 43 openings · below min 7 days · 346 openings · below min 30 days · 400 openings · below min since tracking started · 400 openings · below min 62.5% 89.3% 116.0% **Small sample.** 400 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection?window=24h) | 43 | 89.40% ±26.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection?window=7d) | 346 | 86.50% ±12.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection) | 400 | 82.95% ±10.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-collection?window=all) | 400 | 82.95% ±10.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=lake-collection) [AUG | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-field-tested) [User](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/User) $0.50 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-battle-scarred) [Pain d'épice](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Pain%20d%26apos%3B%C3%A9pice) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.47 0.94x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-field-tested) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-waves-perforated-factory-new) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.53 1.06x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-factory-new) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.79 1.58x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-well-worn) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.06 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.88 1.76x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) [Nathran](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Nathran) $0.50 $0.08 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.95 on average: an expected loss of $17.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt