--- title: "Lake case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Lake ($2.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.41% over 406 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Lake](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Lake A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.41% · 406 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 309 openings · below min 30 days · 406 openings · below min since tracking started · 406 openings · below min 39.5% 112.5% 185.5% **Small sample.** 406 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80?window=24h) | 40 | 112.41% ±72.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80?window=7d) | 309 | 77.12% ±12.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80) | 406 | 78.41% ±11.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/lake-m80?window=all) | 406 | 78.41% ±11.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=lake-m80) [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-well-worn) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $0.53 0.27x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-battle-scarred) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $0.91 0.46x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-battle-scarred) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $0.78 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $12.68 6.34x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-well-worn) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $0.71 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-field-tested) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $0.83 0.42x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-field-tested) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $1.75 0.88x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [USP-S | Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-battle-scarred) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $0.65 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) [xSPASYx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/xSPASYx) $2.00 $24.71 12.36x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC [P250 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-field-tested) [hajduk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/hajduk) $2.00 $0.51 0.26x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.41 on average: an expected loss of $21.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt