---
title: "M9 Bayonet case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "M9 Bayonet ($550.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 168 items with odds, observed 90.84% over 32 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [M9 Bayonet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · M9 Bayonet

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet?window=all)

Price · $550.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $484.02 from 168 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.84% · 32 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 28 openings · below min

30 days · 32 openings · below min

since tracking started · 32 openings · below min

61.0% 107.0% 153.0%

**Small sample.** 32 openings and 13.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet?window=24h) | 2 | 107.02% ±45.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet?window=7d) | 28 | 89.83% ±11.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet) | 32 | 90.84% ±11.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m9-bayonet?window=all) | 32 | 90.84% ±11.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 168 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $4,891 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 917 | $1,519 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 917 | $1,506 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $1,375 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 800 | $1,320 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 794 | $1,320 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 775 | $1,286 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 763 | $1,265 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 741 | $1,221 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $1,182 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 690 | $1,137 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 676 | $1,116 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 633 | $1,044 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $1,032 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 617 | $1,021 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 602 | $998 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 599 | $990 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 592 | $979 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 578 | $956 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 578 | $955 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 575 | $950 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 565 | $935 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 532 | $879 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 526 | $868 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 521 | $860 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 518 | $857 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 515 | $849 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 505 | $835 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 503 | $830 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 498 | $819 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 483 | $802 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 483 | $797 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 478 | $792 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 474 | $783 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 472 | $778 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 469 | $775 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 465 | $769 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $762 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 459 | $758 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 459 | $755 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 455 | $750 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 444 | $734 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 433 | $715 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 433 | $714 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 429 | $709 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 429 | $709 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 426 | $703 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 424 | $701 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 424 | $700 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 418 | $692 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 418 | $691 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 415 | $685 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 413 | $682 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $673 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 407 | $672 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 405 | $669 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 403 | $668 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 403 | $665 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $662 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 397 | $655 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 391 | $646 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 389 | $644 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 388 | $639 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 388 | $639 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 388 | $638 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 386 | $637 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 385 | $636 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 383 | $634 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 383 | $634 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 379 | $625 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 376 | $620 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 373 | $618 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 370 | $612 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 366 | $606 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 366 | $604 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 365 | $602 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 364 | $600 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 364 | $600 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 361 | $598 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 361 | $596 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 360 | $592 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 355 | $588 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $578 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 348 | $577 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 348 | $575 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 348 | $575 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 340 | $562 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 338 | $558 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 337 | $557 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 336 | $555 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $550 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 332 | $549 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 327 | $540 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 325 | $538 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 323 | $533 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 319 | $527 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 317 | $524 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 315 | $521 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $517 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 309 | $510 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 307 | $507 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 305 | $504 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 300 | $497 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 299 | $494 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 299 | $494 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $493 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-night-well-worn) | 1 in 295 | $488 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 294 | $485 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $471 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $468 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $468 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $466 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $464 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $463 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $462 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $458 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $458 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $457 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $453 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $452 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 88 | $447 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $445 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $444 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $443 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $442 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $441 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 86 | $440 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 86 | $438 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $437 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $436 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $435 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $433 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $428 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $427 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $425 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $422 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $420 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $418 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $418 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $415 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $414 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $413 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $411 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $409 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 80 | $408 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $407 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $405 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $404 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $403 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $399 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $399 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $393 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $391 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $391 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $385 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $381 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $373 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $372 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $362 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $360 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $360 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $359 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $358 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 70 | $357 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-night-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $349 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $347 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $333 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $322 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/m9-bayonet`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $550 $1,362 2.48x 2026-11-08 03:04 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [750$ FREE CODE = MAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/750%24%20FREE%20CODE%20%3D%20MAP) $550 $857 1.56x 2026-11-03 23:16 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $550 $673 1.22x 2026-11-11 06:34 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-blue-steel-battle-scarred) [750$ FREE CODE = MAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/750%24%20FREE%20CODE%20%3D%20MAP) $550 $592 1.08x 2026-11-03 23:16 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $550 $588 1.07x 2026-11-08 03:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $550 $588 1.07x 2026-11-08 03:12 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $550 $538 0.98x 2026-11-08 03:05 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $550 $521 0.95x 2026-11-08 03:38 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [firenzew0w](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/firenzew0w) $550 $504 0.92x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=m9-bayonet)

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $550 $673 1.22x 2026-11-11 06:34 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [firenzew0w](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/firenzew0w) $550 $504 0.92x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [kick : Twillv98](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kick%20%3A%20Twillv98) $550 $395 0.72x 2026-11-10 03:59 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [kick : Twillv98](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kick%20%3A%20Twillv98) $550 $473 0.86x 2026-11-10 03:59 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) [kick : Twillv98](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kick%20%3A%20Twillv98) $550 $357 0.65x 2026-11-10 03:59 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [!DANNCHE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/!DANNCHE) $550 $436 0.79x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-field-tested) [!DANNCHE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/!DANNCHE) $550 $415 0.75x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [!DANNCHE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/!DANNCHE) $550 $468 0.85x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [!DANNCHE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/!DANNCHE) $550 $399 0.73x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) [kick : Twillv98](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kick%20%3A%20Twillv98) $550 $391 0.71x 2026-11-09 13:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $550 | 87.99% | 168 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $550 | 87.99% | 168 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $550 | 87.92% | 168 |
| 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |
| 3 Nov, 05:35 UTC | $550 | 88.00% | 168 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 28.8% covert knife 53.0% Immortal 0.1% rare 0.1% Covert 4.2% sunny 1.8% knifes 5.7% epic 0.2% #EB4B4B 3.4% gold 1.1% #ffd700 1.3% best hit $1,362 (2.48x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt