---
title: "Mean case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Mean ($36.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.85% over 76 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Mean](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Mean

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean?window=all)

Price · $36.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.85% · 76 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 59 openings · below min

30 days · 76 openings · below min

since tracking started · 76 openings · below min

32.0% 83.5% 135.0%

**Small sample.** 76 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean?window=24h) | 4 | 83.62% ±50.9 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean?window=7d) | 59 | 82.91% ±24.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean) | 76 | 81.85% ±21.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mean?window=all) | 76 | 81.85% ±21.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=mean)

[AWP | Electric Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-field-tested) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $36.00 $31.55 0.88x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-well-worn) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $36.00 $17.71 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-corticera-field-tested) [krooCH{&gt;&apos;](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $19.00 $42.11 2.22x 2026-11-11 09:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-field-tested) [rastamanik](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/rastamanik) $55.00 $30.72 0.56x 2026-11-11 08:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [Tsew](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Tsew) $36.00 $116 3.23x 2026-11-09 22:46 UTC

[P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.00 $17.37 0.48x 2026-11-09 16:46 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $36.00 $216 5.99x 2026-11-09 16:46 UTC

[M4A4 | 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) [IWAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/IWAN) $36.00 $16.23 0.45x 2026-11-09 16:42 UTC

[AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) [IWAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/IWAN) $36.00 $26.57 0.74x 2026-11-09 16:42 UTC

[M4A4 | 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) [IWAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/IWAN) $36.00 $16.23 0.45x 2026-11-09 16:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.85 on average: an expected loss of $18.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
