--- title: "MVPexit case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "MVPexit ($50.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.81% over 53 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [MVPexit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · MVPexit A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit?window=all) Price · $50.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.81% · 53 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 44 openings · below min 30 days · 53 openings · below min since tracking started · 53 openings · below min 18.5% 100.8% 183.0% **Small sample.** 53 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit?window=24h) | 2 | 24.87% ±5.90 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit?window=7d) | 44 | 103.06% ±79.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit) | 53 | 99.81% ±66.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/mvpexit?window=all) | 53 | 99.81% ±66.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $50.00 $877 17.55x 2026-11-09 09:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=mvpexit) [AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-field-tested) [bomber\_slogo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/bomber_slogo) $50.00 $13.94 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-battle-scarred) [GobeMicheT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/GobeMicheT) $50.00 $10.93 0.22x 2026-11-11 03:21 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) [Crow](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Crow) $50.00 $15.39 0.31x 2026-11-10 05:56 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) [BIG MOMMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BIG%20MOMMA) $50.00 $36.12 0.72x 2026-11-09 16:23 UTC [AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) [BIG MOMMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BIG%20MOMMA) $50.00 $13.98 0.28x 2026-11-09 16:23 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-well-worn) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $50.00 $10.65 0.21x 2026-11-09 09:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $50.00 $877 17.55x 2026-11-09 09:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $50.00 $16.24 0.32x 2026-11-09 09:46 UTC [AUG | Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $50.00 $12.51 0.25x 2026-11-09 09:46 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $50.00 $25.56 0.51x 2026-11-09 09:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $877 (17.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.81 on average: an expected loss of $0.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt