---
title: "Navaja Knives case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Navaja Knives ($250.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 137 items with odds, observed 91.30% over 3 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Navaja Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Navaja Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja?window=all)

Price · $250.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $220.00 from 137 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.30% · 3 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 45.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 37.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 3 openings · below min

since tracking started · 3 openings · below min

37.0% 91.3% 145.5%

**Small sample.** 3 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja?window=7d) | 3 | 91.30% ±53.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja) | 3 | 91.30% ±53.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/navaja?window=all) | 3 | 91.30% ±53.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 137 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 11.9% | $401 | 21.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 16.3% | $293 | 21.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 16.9% | $283 | 21.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 17.3% | $276 | 21.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $220 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $220 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $219 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 952 | $208 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 952 | $206 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 870 | $190 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $190 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 862 | $189 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 855 | $187 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 806 | $175 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 787 | $171 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 746 | $163 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 746 | $163 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 725 | $159 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 719 | $157 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 694 | $152 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 685 | $150 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $146 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 662 | $145 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 649 | $142 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 641 | $140 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 629 | $138 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 617 | $135 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 613 | $133 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 599 | $131 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 592 | $128 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 575 | $126 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 559 | $122 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $122 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 546 | $119 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 532 | $116 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 513 | $112 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 508 | $111 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 505 | $110 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 503 | $110 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 498 | $108 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 498 | $108 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 498 | $108 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 478 | $104 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 469 | $102 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $99.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 455 | $98.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 444 | $97.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 442 | $96.79 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 431 | $94.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 429 | $93.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 426 | $92.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 426 | $92.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 418 | $91.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 412 | $89.97 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 410 | $89.39 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 410 | $89.39 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 403 | $88.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 403 | $88.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 398 | $86.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 391 | $85.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 388 | $84.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 388 | $84.39 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 380 | $82.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 369 | $80.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 366 | $80.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 366 | $79.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 365 | $79.79 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 362 | $79.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 362 | $79.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 361 | $78.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 360 | $78.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $78.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 353 | $77.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 341 | $74.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 338 | $73.62 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 336 | $73.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $72.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 332 | $72.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 329 | $71.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 323 | $70.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 322 | $70.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 319 | $69.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 316 | $68.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 314 | $68.59 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 312 | $68.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 311 | $67.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 306 | $66.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 306 | $66.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 305 | $66.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 304 | $66.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 302 | $65.93 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 300 | $65.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $65.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 298 | $64.84 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 294 | $64.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 290 | $63.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 290 | $63.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 289 | $63.11 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 289 | $63.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $62.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 283 | $61.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $61.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 280 | $61.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 278 | $60.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 275 | $59.86 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 271 | $59.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 256 | $55.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 255 | $55.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 255 | $55.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 254 | $55.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 253 | $55.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 252 | $54.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 251 | $54.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 246 | $53.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 246 | $53.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 243 | $53.04 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 243 | $52.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 242 | $52.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 235 | $51.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 235 | $51.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 234 | $51.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 234 | $51.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 230 | $50.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 230 | $50.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 229 | $49.94 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 227 | $49.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $49.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 227 | $49.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 225 | $49.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 223 | $48.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 222 | $48.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 222 | $48.47 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $48.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 221 | $48.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 220 | $47.99 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 219 | $47.69 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 216 | $47.23 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/navaja`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=navaja)

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) [Green](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Green) $250 $293 1.17x 2026-11-05 14:24 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [Green](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Green) $250 $108 0.43x 2026-11-05 14:24 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) [Green](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Green) $250 $283 1.13x 2026-11-05 14:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $250 | 88.02% | 137 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $250 | 88.00% | 137 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 82.3% sunny 0.1% covert 11.3% #ffd700 1.0% Immortal 1.2% Covert 1.0% gold 3.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt