---
title: "Neon Dynasty case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Neon Dynasty ($2.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.94% from 135 items with odds, observed 90.20% over 699 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Neon Dynasty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Neon Dynasty

A case on Hellcase (esports), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 87.94% · EV $1.76 from 135 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.20% · 699 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 41 openings · below min

7 days · 88.85% ±23.27 614 openings

30 days · 90.20% ±21.83 699 openings

since tracking started · 90.20% ±21.83 699 openings

65.0% 174.5% 284.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty?window=24h) | 41 | 194.40% ±88.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty?window=7d) | 614 | 88.85% ±23.3 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty) | 699 | 90.20% ±21.8 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/neon-dynasty?window=all) | 699 | 90.20% ±21.8 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 135 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 699 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $263 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $145 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $131 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,762 | $111 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $110 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 4,545 | $104 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 4,545 | $101 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 4,348 | $98.06 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,167 | $95.95 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $80.33 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $38.42 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $35.15 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,493 | $33.75 | 1.3% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-rocket-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 1,042 | $23.49 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 794 | $17.86 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 649 | $14.60 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.86× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) | 1 in 629 | $14.24 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.80× |
| [Tec-9 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-safety-net-factory-new) | 1 in 610 | $13.69 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.87× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 592 | $13.36 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-factory-new) | 1 in 568 | $12.88 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.44× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 452 | $10.20 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 426 | $9.60 | 1.3% | 5 | 1.6 | 3.04× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-factory-new) | 1 in 380 | $8.59 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 380 | $8.56 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 376 | $8.51 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $7.51 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.43× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 292 | $6.57 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) | 1 in 279 | $6.31 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 278 | $6.28 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 223 | $5.03 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-factory-new) | 1 in 218 | $4.92 | 1.3% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.87× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $4.74 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 210 | $4.74 | 1.3% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.80× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $4.52 | 1.3% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 192 | $4.33 | 1.3% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 189 | $4.28 | 1.3% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 188 | $4.25 | 1.3% | 7 | 3.7 | 1.89× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) | 1 in 186 | $4.20 | 1.3% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.27× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $3.62 | 1.3% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.46× |
| [Tec-9 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $3.60 | 1.3% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.46× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 157 | $3.54 | 1.3% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.12× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $2.98 | 1.3% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $2.98 | 1.3% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 129 | $2.92 | 1.3% | 7 | 5.4 | 1.30× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $2.76 | 1.3% | 4 | 5.7 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $2.44 | 1.3% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.24× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 107 | $2.42 | 1.3% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.61× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $2.40 | 1.3% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $2.35 | 1.3% | 7 | 6.7 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $2.09 | 1.3% | 4 | 7.5 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $2.05 | 1.3% | 9 | 7.7 | 1.17× |
| [Tec-9 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $2.04 | 1.3% | 3 | 7.7 | 0.39× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $2.02 | 1.3% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $2.02 | 1.3% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $2.01 | 1.3% | 12 | 7.8 | 1.53× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $1.99 | 1.3% | 7 | 7.9 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $1.95 | 1.3% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $1.93 | 1.3% | 15 | 8.2 | 1.83× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.90 | 1.3% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.20× |
| [Tec-9 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $1.89 | 1.3% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.08× |
| [Tec-9 \| Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-safety-net-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $1.84 | 1.3% | 7 | 8.6 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $1.83 | 1.3% | 4 | 8.6 | 0.46× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-factory-new) | 1 in 342 | $1.69 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.47× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) | 1 in 325 | $1.60 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.39× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 321 | $1.58 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 316 | $1.56 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) | 1 in 307 | $1.51 | 0.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | 1 in 305 | $1.50 | 0.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 302 | $1.49 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-well-worn) | 1 in 294 | $1.45 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | 1 in 286 | $1.41 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 283 | $1.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 282 | $1.39 | 0.3% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $1.39 | 0.3% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.42× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 282 | $1.39 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 272 | $1.34 | 0.3% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.56× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $1.34 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 262 | $1.29 | 0.3% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 262 | $1.29 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.12× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-well-worn) | 1 in 251 | $1.24 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 248 | $1.22 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-rocket-pop-well-worn) | 1 in 246 | $1.21 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 243 | $1.20 | 0.3% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 241 | $1.19 | 0.3% | 7 | 2.9 | 2.41× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-field-tested) | 1 in 227 | $1.12 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-rocket-pop-battle-scarred) | 1 in 227 | $1.12 | 0.3% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 227 | $1.12 | 0.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-well-worn) | 1 in 223 | $1.10 | 0.3% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-battle-scarred) | 1 in 221 | $1.09 | 0.3% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.58× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-well-worn) | 1 in 217 | $1.07 | 0.3% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-factory-new) | 1 in 215 | $1.06 | 0.3% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.54× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $1.03 | 0.3% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $1.03 | 0.3% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-well-worn) | 1 in 203 | $1.00 | 0.3% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 199 | $0.98 | 0.3% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 197 | $0.97 | 0.3% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.69× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 191 | $0.94 | 0.3% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 187 | $0.92 | 0.3% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 181 | $0.89 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-well-worn) | 1 in 178 | $0.88 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $0.83 | 0.3% | 8 | 4.2 | 1.93× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 166 | $0.82 | 0.3% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $0.80 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-battle-scarred) | 1 in 156 | $0.77 | 0.3% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 154 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 11 | 4.5 | 2.42× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $0.74 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.07× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $0.74 | 0.3% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 150 | $0.74 | 0.3% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.72× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-field-tested) | 1 in 148 | $0.73 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $0.72 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $0.72 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $0.71 | 0.3% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.62× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $0.67 | 0.3% | 2 | 5.1 | 0.39× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $0.67 | 0.3% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 136 | $0.67 | 0.3% | 8 | 5.1 | 1.56× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 132 | $0.65 | 0.3% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $0.48 | 0.3% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 95 | $0.47 | 0.3% | 7 | 7.3 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $0.44 | 0.3% | 7 | 7.8 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $0.43 | 0.3% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $0.40 | 0.3% | 6 | 8.6 | 0.70× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 75 | $0.37 | 0.3% | 9 | 9.3 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 1 in 75 | $0.37 | 0.3% | 10 | 9.3 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $0.36 | 0.3% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.84× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $0.34 | 0.3% | 8 | 10.1 | 0.79× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $0.33 | 0.3% | 14 | 10.4 | 1.34× |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $0.33 | 0.3% | 11 | 10.4 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $0.28 | 0.3% | 10 | 12.3 | 0.81× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.21 | 0.3% | 20 | 16.4 | 1.22× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.14 | 0.3% | 21 | 24.6 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.14 | 0.3% | 23 | 24.6 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.13 | 0.3% | 21 | 26.5 | 0.79× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 0.3% | 28 | 28.7 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 0.3% | 38 | 28.7 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 0.3% | 28 | 28.7 | 0.98× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/neon-dynasty`, 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=neon-dynasty)

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-field-tested) [yan\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/yan*-6116151) $2.00 $0.14 0.07x 2026-11-10 21:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [yan\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/yan*-6116151) $2.00 $0.28 0.14x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) [yan\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/yan*-6116151) $2.00 $0.76 0.38x 2026-11-10 21:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-meow-36-battle-scarred) [PHXoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/PHXoo) $2.00 $0.13 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:32 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-battle-scarred) [KAMISIMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KAMISIMA) $2.00 $95.95 47.98x 2026-11-10 19:31 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-well-worn) [𝙹𝚞𝚕𝚊𝚢シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%F0%9D%99%B9%F0%9D%9A%9E%F0%9D%9A%95%F0%9D%9A%8A%F0%9D%9A%A2%E3%82%B7) $2.00 $0.37 0.19x 2026-11-10 19:07 UTC

[M4A4 | Magnesium (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-well-worn) [berkatos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/berkatos) $2.00 $0.33 0.17x 2026-11-10 18:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-field-tested) [zozolpl17 HW69.PL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zozolpl17%20HW69.PL) $2.00 $1.90 0.95x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-minimal-wear) [zozolpl17 HW69.PL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zozolpl17%20HW69.PL) $2.00 $2.44 1.22x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC

[Tec-9 | Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-safety-net-well-worn) [zozolpl17 HW69.PL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zozolpl17%20HW69.PL) $2.00 $1.84 0.92x 2026-11-10 17:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $2.00 | 87.94% | 135 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $2.00 | 88.30% | 135 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $2.00 | 88.07% | 135 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $2.00 | 87.94% | 135 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $2.00 | 88.03% | 135 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $2.00 | 88.00% | 135 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $2.00 | 88.03% | 135 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $2.00 | 87.96% | 135 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $2.00 | 87.99% | 135 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $2.00 | 88.01% | 135 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $2.00 | 87.94% | 135 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 0.4% covert 0.1% Covert 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% Ancient 0.0% Restricted 0.1% restricted 15.5% violet 4.1% mil spec 18.4% Mythical 2.4% milspec 31.9% blue 6.4% Rare 2.3% #8847ff 1.8% Mil Spec Grade 5.2% Mil Spec 1.2% #4b69ff 10.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.94 on average: an expected loss of $12.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt