---
title: "Never Again case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Never Again ($8.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 163 items with odds, observed 104.43% over 85 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Never Again](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Never Again

A case on Hellcase (meme-factory), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again?window=all)

Price · $8.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $7.04 from 163 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 104.43% · 85 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 9 openings · below min

7 days · 83 openings · below min

30 days · 85 openings · below min

since tracking started · 85 openings · below min

-0.5% 74.3% 149.0%

**Small sample.** 85 openings and 12.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again?window=24h) | 9 | 66.65% ±81.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again?window=7d) | 83 | 103.09% ±27.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again) | 85 | 104.43% ±26.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again?window=all) | 85 | 104.43% ±26.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 163 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 95 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $162 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $131 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 4,167 | $126 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $119 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $119 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $98.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $93.40 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 3,030 | $93.24 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $85.09 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $80.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,381 | $73.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-well-worn) | 1 in 2,273 | $71.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,273 | $70.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 2,273 | $69.47 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,174 | $68.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,174 | $67.80 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 2,174 | $66.54 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 2,128 | $65.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 2,128 | $65.63 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 2,041 | $63.77 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $61.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 1,786 | $55.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 1,724 | $53.59 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $53.24 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,724 | $52.86 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $51.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $51.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,613 | $49.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,613 | $49.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,587 | $49.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,562 | $48.34 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,538 | $47.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,449 | $45.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,408 | $43.62 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 1,282 | $39.64 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 1,282 | $39.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,176 | $36.78 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,124 | $34.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $34.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $31.38 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 1,010 | $31.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 980 | $30.26 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 962 | $29.86 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 962 | $29.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 909 | $28.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 901 | $28.09 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 901 | $27.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $27.73 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 893 | $27.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 885 | $27.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 870 | $26.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 870 | $26.78 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 855 | $26.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 855 | $26.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 840 | $26.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) | 1 in 847 | $26.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 847 | $26.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 840 | $26.13 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 847 | $26.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 840 | $25.99 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 833 | $25.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $25.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 826 | $25.76 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-well-worn) | 1 in 826 | $25.59 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 820 | $25.33 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-well-worn) | 1 in 813 | $25.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 1 in 813 | $25.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 806 | $24.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-well-worn) | 1 in 794 | $24.48 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-well-worn) | 1 in 781 | $24.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 775 | $24.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 781 | $24.05 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-field-tested) | 1 in 775 | $23.91 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 769 | $23.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $23.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $23.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $23.76 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 763 | $23.65 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 746 | $23.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 741 | $23.04 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 725 | $22.44 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $22.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 709 | $22.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 676 | $20.92 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 658 | $20.32 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 649 | $20.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 625 | $19.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 610 | $18.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 602 | $18.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 578 | $17.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $17.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 549 | $17.01 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 532 | $16.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 518 | $16.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 503 | $15.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-well-worn) | 1 in 478 | $14.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-well-worn) | 1 in 476 | $14.74 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 467 | $14.47 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 452 | $14.02 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 446 | $13.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 442 | $13.75 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 433 | $13.38 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 422 | $13.09 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-stone-cold-minimal-wear) | 1 in 420 | $12.99 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 410 | $12.68 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 379 | $11.74 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 370 | $11.49 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 366 | $11.35 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) | 1 in 364 | $11.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 364 | $11.26 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 364 | $11.25 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 356 | $11.03 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 352 | $10.91 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 351 | $10.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-well-worn) | 1 in 345 | $10.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 334 | $10.37 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 330 | $10.21 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 326 | $10.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 318 | $9.87 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 310 | $9.59 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 310 | $9.57 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 308 | $9.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 284 | $8.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 265 | $8.20 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $6.96 | 1.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $6.82 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $6.47 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $6.46 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $6.37 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $6.36 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $6.26 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 73 | $6.03 | 1.2% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.32× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $6.00 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $5.88 | 1.2% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.51× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $5.88 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $5.46 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $5.42 | 1.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $5.26 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $5.26 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $5.25 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $4.98 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $4.97 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $4.69 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $4.44 | 1.2% | 5 | 1.8 | 2.85× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $3.88 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $3.86 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $3.85 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $3.81 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $3.81 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $3.75 | 1.2% | 5 | 2.1 | 2.41× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $3.72 | 1.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $3.62 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3.25 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $3.09 | 1.2% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.38× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $2.77 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $2.76 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $2.68 | 1.2% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $2.68 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $2.62 | 1.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $2.51 | 1.2% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.96 | 1.2% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.51× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $1.93 | 1.2% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $1.90 | 1.2% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/never-again`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=never-again)

[Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) [Maldini](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maldini) $8.00 $2.68 0.34x 2026-11-11 10:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) [Maldini](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maldini) $8.00 $6.37 0.80x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) [Déou](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/D%C3%A9ou) $8.00 $9.57 1.20x 2026-11-11 07:52 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) [Manuel Raymond](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Manuel%20Raymond) $8.00 $6.82 0.85x 2026-11-11 04:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) [KW1AT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KW1AT) $8.00 $10.37 1.30x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) [S(ixten)](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/S%28ixten%29) $8.00 $1.90 0.24x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) [S(ixten)](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/S%28ixten%29) $8.00 $4.44 0.56x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Olympus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) [S(ixten)](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/S%28ixten%29) $8.00 $3.88 0.49x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) [NAAAAAAAAAAANNNNNNNNNNNNIIIIIIII](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/NAAAAAAAAAAANNNNNNNNNNNNIIIIIIII) $8.00 $1.96 0.25x 2026-11-10 16:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) [Swifty](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Swifty) $8.00 $2.77 0.35x 2026-11-10 13:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $8.00 | 88.00% | 163 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $8.00 | 88.00% | 163 |
| 9 Nov, 20:18 UTC | $8.00 | 87.99% | 163 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $8.00 | 87.99% | 163 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $8.00 | 88.00% | 163 |
| 6 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $8.00 | 88.00% | 163 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $8.00 | 87.98% | 163 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $8.00 | 87.86% | 163 |
| 4 Nov, 04:57 UTC | $8.00 | 87.98% | 163 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 3.7% classified 15.1% rare 0.9% restricted 38.6% Classified 3.6% Restricted 7.1% #d32ee6 2.5% #d32ce6 1.6% pink 12.0% violet 3.6% #8847ff 3.4% Mythical 6.8% uncommon 1.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt