--- title: "New Beginning case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "New Beginning ($1.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.03% over 3,719 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning rendered: 2026-11-11T15:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [New Beginning](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · New Beginning A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning?window=all) Price · $1.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.03% · 3,719 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 465 openings · below min 7 days · 81.19% ±7.06 2,888 openings 30 days · 81.03% ±6.04 3,719 openings since tracking started · 81.03% ±6.04 3,719 openings 62.0% 80.8% 99.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning?window=24h) | 465 | 80.56% ±18.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning?window=7d) | 2,888 | 81.19% ±7.06 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning) | 3,719 | 81.03% ±6.04 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/new-beginning?window=all) | 3,719 | 81.03% ±6.04 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-minimal-wear) [ᴳᵒᵈ⭐G -tnt-⭐](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E1%B4%B3%E1%B5%92%E1%B5%88%E2%AD%90G%20-tnt-%E2%AD%90) $1.00 $58.61 58.61x 2026-11-09 07:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=new-beginning) [SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-battle-scarred) [XXXTentacion](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/XXXTentacion) $1.00 $0.09 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC [SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-battle-scarred) [Bball](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Bball) $1.00 $0.09 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-battle-scarred) [GrafyGo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/GrafyGo) $1.00 $0.22 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) [Dodycota1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dodycota1000) $1.00 $2.20 2.20x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-well-worn) [Dodycota1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Dodycota1000) $1.00 $0.22 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-battle-scarred) [Its Zoey](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Its%20Zoey) $1.00 $0.09 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:11 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-minimal-wear) [Rathinosk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Rathinosk) $1.00 $0.65 0.65x 2026-11-11 15:08 UTC [SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-well-worn) [Joyenesco](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Joyenesco) $1.00 $0.09 0.09x 2026-11-11 15:07 UTC [SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-field-tested) [Joyenesco](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Joyenesco) $1.00 $0.14 0.14x 2026-11-11 15:07 UTC [SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-well-worn) [Heet0z](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Heet0z) $1.00 $0.74 0.74x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $58.61 (58.61x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.03 on average: an expected loss of $18.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt