--- title: "Newbie case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Newbie ($0.10) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.40% over 58.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie rendered: 2026-11-11T12:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Newbie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Newbie A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie?window=all) Price · $0.10 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.40% · 58.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.06% ±8.85 6,461 openings 7 days · 77.74% ±3.87 46.2K openings 30 days · 77.40% ±3.39 58.1K openings since tracking started · 77.40% ±3.39 58.1K openings 64.5% 74.0% 83.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie?window=24h) | 6,461 | 74.06% ±8.85 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie?window=7d) | 46.2K | 77.74% ±3.87 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie) | 58.1K | 77.40% ±3.39 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newbie?window=all) | 58.1K | 77.40% ±3.39 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) [DVG | NeverSkills](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/DVG%20%7C%20NeverSkills) $0.10 $25.42 254.2x 2026-11-10 00:05 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) [Bilasafupestate](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Bilasafupestate) $0.10 $25.42 254.2x 2026-11-08 12:53 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) [Maxo@bandit](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maxo%40bandit) $0.10 $25.42 254.2x 2026-11-05 08:38 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) [Codename\_Warcrime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Codename_Warcrime) $0.10 $14.17 141.7x 2026-11-11 00:23 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) [Chapapapapa](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Chapapapapa) $0.10 $13.96 139.6x 2026-11-06 05:55 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) [X-ZzZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/X-ZzZ) $0.10 $13.96 139.6x 2026-11-04 23:47 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) [\_Olek\_szef\_skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/_Olek_szef_skins.army) $0.10 $13.96 139.6x 2026-11-03 10:47 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) [FentanylJeživot](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/FentanylJe%C5%BEivot) $0.10 $13.96 139.6x 2026-11-03 07:34 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) [Bacardipepsy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Bacardipepsy) $0.10 $13.92 139.2x 2026-11-09 09:33 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) [moxe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/moxe) $0.10 $10.03 100.3x 2026-11-11 10:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=newbie) [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [FEWY](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/FEWY) $0.10 $0.03 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-well-worn) [Maat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maat) $0.10 $0.07 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [PALA DAYI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/PALA%20DAYI) $0.10 $0.04 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Sovage](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Sovage) $0.10 $0.03 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [I NEXO I MejQu SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/I%20NEXO%20I%20MejQu%20SKINS) $0.10 $0.03 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Sessiz Dızzo](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Sessiz%20D%C4%B1zzo) $0.10 $0.04 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [SG 553 | Army Sheen (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-field-tested) [CalinGeorgescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/CalinGeorgescu) $0.10 $0.09 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [VF](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/VF) $0.10 $0.03 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) [Demon volca](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Demon%20volca) $0.10 $0.06 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) [kachoux67](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kachoux67) $0.10 $0.06 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $25.42 (254.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.40 on average: an expected loss of $22.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt