--- title: "Nexlag case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Nexlag ($0.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.44% over 1,529 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Nexlag](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Nexlag A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag?window=all) Price · $0.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.44% · 1,529 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 141 openings · below min 7 days · 100.78% ±20.38 1,210 openings 30 days · 97.44% ±17.09 1,529 openings since tracking started · 97.44% ±17.09 1,529 openings 43.0% 82.5% 122.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag?window=24h) | 141 | 76.87% ±33.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag?window=7d) | 1,210 | 100.78% ±20.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag) | 1,529 | 97.44% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nexlag?window=all) | 1,529 | 97.44% ±17.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) [BACHAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BACHAR) $0.50 $35.80 71.60x 2026-11-10 08:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=nexlag) [P2000 | Gnarled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-battle-scarred) [Envyus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Envyus) $0.50 $0.12 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) [Envyus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Envyus) $0.50 $0.16 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) [Envyus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Envyus) $0.50 $0.32 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-dream-glade-battle-scarred) [MicrotaskQueue](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/MicrotaskQueue) $0.50 $0.72 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [セビ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%82%BB%E3%83%93) $0.50 $0.13 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cassette-well-worn) [セビ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%82%BB%E3%83%93) $0.50 $0.15 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-tom-cat-well-worn) [セビ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%82%BB%E3%83%93) $0.50 $0.24 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-battle-scarred) [Ripfearless](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ripfearless) $0.50 $0.34 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) [Atomiqu3](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Atomiqu3) $0.50 $0.16 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) [Atomiqu3](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Atomiqu3) $0.50 $0.16 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $35.80 (71.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.44 on average: an expected loss of $2.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt