--- title: "NilsLegend case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "NilsLegend ($15.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.12% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend rendered: 2026-11-13T01:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [NilsLegend](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · NilsLegend A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend?window=all) Price · $15.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.12% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 15 openings · below min 7 days · 47 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min 7.0% 110.2% 213.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend?window=24h) | 15 | 110.21% ±102.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend?window=7d) | 47 | 84.48% ±40.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend) | 72 | 83.12% ±30.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nilslegend?window=all) | 72 | 83.12% ±30.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=nilslegend) [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) [タイルはケファレクじ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%82%BF%E3%82%A4%E3%83%AB%E3%81%AF%E3%82%B1%E3%83%95%E3%82%A1%E3%83%AC%E3%82%AF%E3%81%98) $15.00 $4.27 0.28x 2026-11-13 01:02 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) [Я и бал принцесс](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%AF%20%D0%B8%20%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BB%20%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%86%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%81) $15.00 $3.53 0.24x 2026-11-13 01:02 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) [BBL|Itzcheezey](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BBL%7CItzcheezey) $15.00 $4.27 0.28x 2026-11-12 22:13 UTC [AWP | Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-well-worn) [BBL|Itzcheezey](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BBL%7CItzcheezey) $15.00 $11.40 0.76x 2026-11-12 22:13 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) [Zoltonsss](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Zoltonsss) $15.00 $1.74 0.12x 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-well-worn) [P0mps](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/P0mps) $15.00 $26.23 1.75x 2026-11-12 21:20 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) [P0mps](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/P0mps) $15.00 $1.74 0.12x 2026-11-12 21:20 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-well-worn) [advanced huttbole studies](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/advanced%20huttbole%20studies) $15.00 $3.60 0.24x 2026-11-12 20:32 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [advanced huttbole studies](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/advanced%20huttbole%20studies) $15.00 $4.22 0.28x 2026-11-12 20:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) [Сантазавр](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%A1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%80) $15.00 $27.73 1.85x 2026-11-12 18:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.12 on average: an expected loss of $16.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt