---
title: "Nomad Knives case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Nomad Knives ($280.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 116 items with odds, observed 124.87% over 5 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Nomad Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Nomad Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife?window=all)

Price · $280.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $246.40 from 116 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 124.87% · 5 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 55.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 5 openings · below min

30 days · 5 openings · below min

since tracking started · 5 openings · below min

85.0% 124.8% 164.5%

**Small sample.** 5 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife?window=7d) | 5 | 124.87% ±39.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife) | 5 | 124.87% ±39.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nomad-knife?window=all) | 5 | 124.87% ±39.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 116 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $702 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $661 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 70 | $514 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $478 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $445 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $396 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $380 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $375 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $374 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $362 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $358 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $354 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $353 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $348 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $331 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $322 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $312 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $298 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $292 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $287 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $285 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $284 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $271 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $262 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $250 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 350 | $246 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 342 | $241 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 340 | $239 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $235 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 328 | $231 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 328 | $231 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 327 | $230 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 318 | $224 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 301 | $212 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 299 | $211 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 292 | $206 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 289 | $204 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 289 | $203 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 287 | $202 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 282 | $199 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 282 | $198 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 274 | $193 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 265 | $186 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 263 | $185 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 262 | $185 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 259 | $182 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 259 | $182 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 253 | $178 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 252 | $177 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 251 | $176 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 249 | $175 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 242 | $170 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 242 | $170 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 241 | $170 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $168 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 235 | $165 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 234 | $165 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 234 | $164 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 234 | $164 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 229 | $161 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 225 | $158 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 220 | $155 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 217 | $153 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $149 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 211 | $149 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 209 | $147 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 207 | $146 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 206 | $145 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 205 | $144 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 201 | $141 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 195 | $138 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 194 | $136 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 193 | $136 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 188 | $133 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 186 | $131 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 184 | $129 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $126 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 178 | $126 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 176 | $124 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 175 | $123 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 175 | $123 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $121 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 171 | $121 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 170 | $120 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 170 | $120 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $118 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $118 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $114 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $113 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $113 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 158 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 158 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 156 | $110 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 154 | $109 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $107 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 150 | $106 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $105 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $101 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $101 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $101 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142 | $100 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $99.68 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $98.86 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 136 | $96.05 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 136 | $96.00 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $95.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $94.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $94.37 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $93.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $93.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $92.81 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $92.51 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $92.22 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $91.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 127 | $89.53 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 127 | $89.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/nomad-knife`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $280 $713 2.55x 2026-11-08 02:44 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=nomad-knife)

[★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [!DANNCHE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/!DANNCHE) $280 $281 1.00x 2026-11-09 22:24 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $280 $281 1.00x 2026-11-08 03:46 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $280 $713 2.55x 2026-11-08 02:44 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $280 $281 1.00x 2026-11-08 02:44 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $280 $193 0.69x 2026-11-08 02:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $280 | 87.96% | 116 |
| 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |
| 3 Nov, 05:35 UTC | $280 | 88.00% | 116 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 5.4% covert knife 55.5% Immortal 2.8% rare 3.9% covert 21.8% epic 5.4% gold 3.3% Covert 1.9% best hit $713 (2.55x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt