---
title: "Nothing Has A Face case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Nothing Has A Face ($50.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.00% from 135 items with odds, observed 79.37% over 77 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Nothing Has A Face](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Nothing Has A Face

A case on Hellcase (halloween), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 88.00% · EV $44.00 from 135 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.37% · 77 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 50 openings · below min

30 days · 77 openings · below min

since tracking started · 77 openings · below min

15.5% 83.3% 151.0%

**Small sample.** 77 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face?window=7d) | 50 | 83.11% ±67.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face) | 77 | 79.37% ±54.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-has-a-face?window=all) | 77 | 79.37% ±54.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 135 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 77 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $3,147 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $2,127 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $2,118 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,964 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $1,913 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $1,851 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $1,728 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,618 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,611 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,518 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $1,435 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $1,292 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 4,167 | $1,256 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $1,081 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $989 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 3,125 | $961 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 3,030 | $928 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $910 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $899 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $896 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $808 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $806 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 2,632 | $799 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $791 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $775 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $767 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $744 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $742 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $725 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $675 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 2,128 | $657 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 1,754 | $529 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $522 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 1,562 | $468 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,538 | $466 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 1,515 | $462 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,408 | $431 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,370 | $421 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,351 | $409 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,299 | $395 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,299 | $392 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $370 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 1,087 | $328 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 1,087 | $326 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 1,075 | $325 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,031 | $312 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $303 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 935 | $283 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 926 | $282 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $277 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 917 | $277 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 893 | $270 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 826 | $250 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 800 | $243 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 752 | $228 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 694 | $211 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $203 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 671 | $203 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 645 | $196 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 602 | $183 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 595 | $181 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 562 | $170 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 535 | $162 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 529 | $160 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 510 | $154 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 508 | $154 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 478 | $145 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 478 | $145 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 457 | $138 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 442 | $134 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 441 | $133 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-well-worn) | 1 in 439 | $133 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 435 | $132 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 435 | $132 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 408 | $124 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 407 | $123 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 402 | $122 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 394 | $119 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 392 | $119 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 386 | $117 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 372 | $112 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 344 | $104 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 322 | $97.31 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 316 | $95.87 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 312 | $94.53 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn) | 1 in 294 | $89.03 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 293 | $88.77 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $86.53 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 273 | $82.82 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $82.61 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $82.03 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $81.80 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 270 | $81.58 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 268 | $81.31 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 268 | $81.12 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 266 | $80.71 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 266 | $80.68 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 265 | $80.27 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 263 | $79.77 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 255 | $77.48 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 246 | $74.45 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 242 | $73.21 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 241 | $73.02 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 240 | $72.59 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $72.32 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) | 1 in 239 | $72.29 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) | 1 in 237 | $71.93 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 235 | $71.18 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 226 | $68.39 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 223 | $67.54 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 219 | $66.36 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 211 | $63.94 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 177 | $53.63 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 176 | $53.27 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $50.96 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $47.00 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153 | $46.33 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $45.25 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $42.74 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 86 | $41.73 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $41.62 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $40.03 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $29.15 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $27.24 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $26.51 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.42× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $23.28 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $13.98 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.12× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $13.92 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $8.46 | 1.1% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $7.84 | 1.1% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.47× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $7.29 | 1.1% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $7.15 | 1.1% | 9 | 5.2 | 1.73× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 10.4% | $4.66 | 1.1% | 9 | 8.0 | 1.12× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 10.4% | $4.65 | 1.1% | 8 | 8.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 10.8% | $4.49 | 1.1% | 8 | 8.3 | 0.96× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/nothing-has-a-face`, 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=nothing-has-a-face)

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) [★☜GoldenBurger☞★](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%98%85%E2%98%9CGoldenBurger%E2%98%9E%E2%98%85) $50.00 $8.46 0.17x 2026-11-06 13:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) [Limitless](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Limitless) $50.00 $7.84 0.16x 2026-11-06 13:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $50.00 $7.84 0.16x 2026-11-06 11:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) [spyhidden](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/spyhidden) $50.00 $7.29 0.15x 2026-11-06 11:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) [mute.janis](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/mute.janis) $50.00 $8.46 0.17x 2026-11-06 10:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) [Attila](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Attila) $50.00 $4.39 0.09x 2026-11-06 08:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) [mute.janis](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/mute.janis) $50.00 $468 9.36x 2026-11-06 04:40 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-well-worn) [pNk.-](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pNk.-) $50.00 $133 2.66x 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) [Reawaken](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Reawaken) $50.00 $7.29 0.15x 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) [Bart Sampson](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Bart%20Sampson) $50.00 $4.64 0.09x 2026-11-06 02:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $50.00 | 88.00% | 135 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $50.00 | 88.04% | 135 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $50.00 | 88.06% | 135 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $50.00 | 87.96% | 135 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $50.00 | 87.98% | 135 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $50.00 | 87.94% | 135 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% covert 19.7% covert knife 0.1% classified 24.2% restricted 0.0% rare 0.1% Covert 2.1% Extraordinary 0.3% sunny 0.5% red 4.6% #eb4b4b 3.1% Ancient 2.7% gold 0.6% Legendary 13.9% #d32ee6 6.8% pink 21.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.00 on average: an expected loss of $12.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt