---
title: "Nothing Weird case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Nothing Weird ($21.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.01% from 129 items with odds, observed 86.36% over 1,207 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Nothing Weird](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Nothing Weird

A case on Hellcase (event), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird?window=all)

Price · $21.00

Advertised RTP · 88.01% · EV $18.48 from 129 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.36% · 1,207 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97 openings · below min

7 days · 87.65% ±8.73 1,008 openings

30 days · 86.36% ±7.98 1,207 openings

since tracking started · 86.36% ±7.98 1,207 openings

46.5% 75.5% 104.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird?window=24h) | 97 | 75.44% ±28.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird?window=7d) | 1,008 | 87.65% ±8.73 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird) | 1,207 | 86.36% ±7.98 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird?window=all) | 1,207 | 86.36% ±7.98 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 129 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,209 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $374 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $361 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,857 | $309 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $243 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $232 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $214 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $214 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $212 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,754 | $193 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 1,754 | $192 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $179 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,613 | $178 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $175 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,562 | $171 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,515 | $167 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 1,493 | $164 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,471 | $162 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $158 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $158 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 1,370 | $151 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 1,370 | $150 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,351 | $150 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 1,299 | $143 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,282 | $142 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,266 | $139 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,250 | $138 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 1,235 | $135 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $131 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $131 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,163 | $129 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 1,176 | $129 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,124 | $124 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $121 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $120 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,075 | $118 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 1,053 | $116 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,042 | $114 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.72× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 1,020 | $112 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $110 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $110 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 971 | $106 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 877 | $96.35 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 847 | $93.45 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 847 | $92.48 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $91.25 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 781 | $86.32 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 746 | $81.97 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 741 | $81.63 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 735 | $81.37 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 735 | $80.66 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 735 | $80.61 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 730 | $80.60 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 730 | $80.52 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.81× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 730 | $80.39 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 730 | $79.96 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 719 | $79.32 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 719 | $79.25 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.79× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 685 | $75.66 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 629 | $69.28 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.56× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $68.80 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 610 | $67.19 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 606 | $66.69 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 602 | $66.43 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 602 | $66.14 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.49× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 592 | $64.96 | 0.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 562 | $61.76 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 559 | $61.54 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 559 | $61.53 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $61.19 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 552 | $60.82 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.37× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 535 | $58.72 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.77× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 532 | $58.61 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.76× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 505 | $55.31 | 0.6% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 478 | $52.39 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 476 | $52.37 | 0.6% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.39× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 465 | $51.13 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 452 | $49.78 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 431 | $47.29 | 0.6% | 6 | 2.8 | 2.14× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 422 | $46.45 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.40× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 418 | $45.96 | 0.6% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.08× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 410 | $45.02 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $44.96 | 0.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 402 | $44.03 | 0.6% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.66× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 398 | $43.89 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 389 | $42.84 | 0.6% | 9 | 3.1 | 2.90× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 388 | $42.54 | 0.6% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 380 | $41.80 | 0.6% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.89× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 376 | $41.27 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 364 | $40.03 | 0.6% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 364 | $40.00 | 0.6% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 362 | $39.87 | 0.6% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 360 | $39.61 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 352 | $38.70 | 0.6% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.75× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 352 | $38.70 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 346 | $38.05 | 0.6% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 326 | $35.80 | 0.6% | 7 | 3.7 | 1.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) | 1 in 319 | $35.17 | 0.6% | 0 | 3.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 308 | $33.77 | 0.6% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.78× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $30.79 | 0.6% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 262 | $28.92 | 0.6% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 257 | $28.27 | 0.6% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 244 | $26.84 | 0.6% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 242 | $26.51 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 239 | $26.26 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 198 | $21.80 | 0.6% | 7 | 6.1 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 197 | $21.69 | 0.6% | 7 | 6.1 | 1.14× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 193 | $21.22 | 0.6% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.64× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $20.48 | 0.6% | 11 | 6.5 | 1.70× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $20.01 | 0.6% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 175 | $19.21 | 0.6% | 13 | 6.9 | 1.88× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $19.05 | 0.6% | 10 | 7.0 | 1.43× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 171 | $18.83 | 0.6% | 19 | 7.1 | 2.69× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 171 | $18.83 | 0.6% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 170 | $18.72 | 0.6% | 15 | 7.1 | 2.11× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $17.93 | 2.1% | 24 | 26.7 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $17.62 | 2.1% | 26 | 27.2 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $16.60 | 2.1% | 22 | 28.9 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $16.56 | 2.1% | 24 | 28.9 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $11.01 | 2.1% | 47 | 43.5 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $10.27 | 2.1% | 57 | 46.7 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $8.31 | 2.1% | 62 | 57.7 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $7.99 | 2.1% | 61 | 60.0 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $7.83 | 2.1% | 58 | 61.2 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $7.02 | 2.1% | 65 | 68.3 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $7.00 | 2.1% | 51 | 68.5 | 0.75× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $6.56 | 2.1% | 77 | 73.0 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $4.53 | 2.1% | 99 | 105.8 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $3.98 | 2.1% | 115 | 120.4 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 10.2% | $3.87 | 2.1% | 121 | 123.8 | 0.98× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/nothing-weird`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=nothing-weird)

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [K̵̮̽͗T̵̡̟̳̯̳̳̩͚͑Z](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/K%CC%B5%CC%BD%CD%97%CC%AET%CC%B5%CD%91%CC%A1%CC%9F%CC%B3%CC%AF%CC%B3%CC%B3%CC%A9%CD%9AZ) $21.00 $10.27 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[MP7 | Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) [Truemperor](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Truemperor) $21.00 $42.54 2.03x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [Truemperor](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Truemperor) $21.00 $3.98 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [ΣПDI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%CE%A3%D0%9FDI) $21.00 $3.98 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) [GegeCorp](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/GegeCorp) $21.00 $30.79 1.47x 2026-11-11 10:48 UTC

[M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) [Звук дали президе](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%D0%97%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BA%20%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B8%20%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5) $21.00 $38.70 1.84x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) [La Caillette"](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/La%20Caillette%26quot%3B) $21.00 $17.62 0.84x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [La Caillette"](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/La%20Caillette%26quot%3B) $21.00 $10.27 0.49x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) [La Caillette"](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/La%20Caillette%26quot%3B) $21.00 $7.99 0.38x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) [Sakahi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Sakahi) $21.00 $7.00 0.33x 2026-11-11 08:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $21.00 | 88.01% | 129 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $21.00 | 87.98% | 129 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $21.00 | 87.91% | 129 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $21.00 | 87.99% | 129 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $21.00 | 87.99% | 129 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $21.00 | 88.01% | 129 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $21.00 | 88.00% | 129 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $21.00 | 87.99% | 129 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $21.00 | 88.00% | 129 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $21.00 | 88.00% | 129 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $21.00 | 87.99% | 129 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 50.7% covert knife 0.0% covert 8.5% #eb4b4b 0.8% red 1.9% Covert 0.7% Ancient 0.8% pink 27.3% Legendary 6.4% #d32ee6 2.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.01 on average: an expected loss of $11.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt