---
title: "Oni Taiji case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Oni Taiji ($88.20) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.01% from 140 items with odds, observed 88.14% over 87 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Oni Taiji](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Oni Taiji

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji?window=all)

Price · $88.20

Advertised RTP · 86.01% · EV $75.86 from 140 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.14% · 87 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 5 openings · below min

7 days · 46 openings · below min

30 days · 87 openings · below min

since tracking started · 87 openings · below min

6.0% 95.3% 184.5%

**Small sample.** 87 openings and 18.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji?window=24h) | 5 | 95.28% ±88.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji?window=7d) | 46 | 84.73% ±29.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji) | 87 | 88.14% ±22.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/onitaiji?window=all) | 87 | 88.14% ±22.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 140 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 87 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $2,642 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $2,007 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $1,852 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $1,804 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,700 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,657 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,545 | $1,543 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $1,440 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $1,435 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 4,167 | $1,383 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $1,298 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $1,292 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $1,264 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $1,192 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $739 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,128 | $723 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $691 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,961 | $655 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $639 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,754 | $584 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $519 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 1,370 | $452 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,351 | $447 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,266 | $422 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 1,149 | $383 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,149 | $381 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $366 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,087 | $360 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 1,075 | $358 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 1,053 | $351 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $350 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 1,020 | $343 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 1,010 | $337 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 990 | $332 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 935 | $312 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $301 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 901 | $299 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 862 | $286 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 855 | $286 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 826 | $277 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 826 | $275 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 826 | $273 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 813 | $272 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 800 | $268 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 800 | $268 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 787 | $263 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 758 | $253 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-well-worn) | 1 in 752 | $250 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 752 | $250 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 746 | $249 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 741 | $247 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 725 | $241 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 699 | $233 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 676 | $225 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 671 | $224 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 671 | $224 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $223 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 658 | $219 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 629 | $211 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 617 | $206 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 606 | $202 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 602 | $201 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 599 | $200 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 543 | $181 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 524 | $174 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-battle-scarred) | 1 in 510 | $170 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 505 | $168 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $167 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $167 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $167 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 493 | $164 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 493 | $164 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 476 | $159 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 465 | $155 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 455 | $152 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 450 | $150 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 450 | $150 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 444 | $148 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 427 | $143 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 422 | $141 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 415 | $138 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 407 | $136 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 388 | $129 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 360 | $120 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 358 | $119 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 350 | $116 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 348 | $116 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 347 | $116 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 341 | $114 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 334 | $111 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 332 | $111 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 332 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 330 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 326 | $109 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 308 | $103 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 299 | $99.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 292 | $97.47 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 270 | $90.04 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 267 | $88.91 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 261 | $87.06 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 261 | $87.02 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 251 | $83.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 244 | $81.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 240 | $80.26 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 240 | $80.00 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 240 | $79.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 236 | $78.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $74.67 | 1.6% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.11× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $73.38 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $72.93 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $70.05 | 1.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $67.61 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $67.19 | 1.6% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $67.17 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $66.53 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $64.86 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $63.94 | 1.6% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.41× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $60.68 | 1.6% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $60.09 | 1.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $59.92 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 49 | $59.23 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $58.65 | 1.6% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $55.91 | 1.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $54.61 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $52.21 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $52.15 | 1.6% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $51.95 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $48.93 | 1.6% | 6 | 2.2 | 2.77× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $45.48 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $45.29 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $43.19 | 1.6% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $42.66 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $41.16 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $37.41 | 1.6% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $36.70 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $36.36 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $36.34 | 1.6% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $30.04 | 1.6% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $29.10 | 1.6% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $28.00 | 1.6% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/onitaiji`, 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) [wysciguwa](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/wysciguwa) $105 $561 5.34x 2026-11-04 09:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=onitaiji)

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $105 $61.33 0.58x 2026-11-11 03:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [지금 뭐 보고 있어?](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%EC%A7%80%EA%B8%88%20%EB%AD%90%20%EB%B3%B4%EA%B3%A0%20%EC%9E%88%EC%96%B4%3F) $105 $79.31 0.76x 2026-11-11 03:29 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [Boum Boum 7](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Boum%20Boum%207) $105 $89.66 0.85x 2026-11-10 22:55 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Boum Boum 7](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Boum%20Boum%207) $105 $209 1.99x 2026-11-10 22:55 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) [DT\_OINE](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/DT_OINE) $105 $61.33 0.58x 2026-11-10 17:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) [miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/miguel) $105 $118 1.13x 2026-11-09 23:37 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) [Boum Boum 7](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Boum%20Boum%207) $105 $59.55 0.57x 2026-11-09 18:32 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) [Boum Boum 7](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Boum%20Boum%207) $105 $53.16 0.51x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) [Boum Boum 7](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Boum%20Boum%207) $105 $61.41 0.58x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [Boum Boum 7](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Boum%20Boum%207) $105 $207 1.97x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $88.20 | 86.01% | 140 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $88.20 | 86.01% | 140 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.8% classified 17.3% gold 0.0% Covert 7.2% covert 58.8% red 6.7% Ancient 3.1% Classified 2.0% #eb4b4b 4.2% best hit $561 (5.34x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.01 on average: an expected loss of $13.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt