--- title: "Origin case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Origin ($0.60) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 129.88% over 152 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Origin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Origin A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin?window=all) Price · $0.60 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 129.88% · 152 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 105 openings · below min 30 days · 152 openings · below min since tracking started · 152 openings · below min 29.5% 117.8% 206.0% **Small sample.** 152 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin?window=24h) | 12 | 117.64% ±87.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin?window=7d) | 105 | 119.57% ±57.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin) | 152 | 129.88% ±48.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/origin?window=all) | 152 | 129.88% ±48.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=origin) [Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) [Kush Kush](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Kush%20Kush) $0.60 $0.45 0.75x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-battle-scarred) [cockOnut](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/cockOnut) $0.60 $0.30 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-well-worn) [Diamond](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Diamond) $0.60 $0.23 0.38x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [M4A1-S | VariCamo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-battle-scarred) [Ciro Di Marzio](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ciro%20Di%20Marzio) $0.60 $0.32 0.53x 2026-11-11 06:46 UTC [Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-well-worn) [gary](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/gary) $0.60 $0.76 1.27x 2026-11-11 06:35 UTC [M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-well-worn) [Camen56](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Camen56) $0.60 $0.33 0.55x 2026-11-11 03:01 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [IWAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/IWAN) $0.60 $1.23 2.05x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) [Narvy32](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Narvy32) $0.60 $0.42 0.70x 2026-11-10 21:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.60 $0.45 0.75x 2026-11-10 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ghost-camo-minimal-wear) [ørn,](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%C3%B8rn%2C) $0.60 $3.51 5.85x 2026-11-10 18:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 129.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $129.88 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt