--- title: "Pago case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pago ($12.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.76% over 84 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago rendered: 2026-11-12T03:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Pago](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Pago A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago?window=all) Price · $12.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.76% · 84 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 62 openings · below min 30 days · 84 openings · below min since tracking started · 84 openings · below min 26.5% 79.3% 132.0% **Small sample.** 84 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago?window=24h) | 6 | 43.64% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago?window=7d) | 62 | 91.10% ±40.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago) | 84 | 83.76% ±30.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pago?window=all) | 84 | 83.76% ±30.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=pago) [USP-S | Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) [Byronio](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Byronio) $12.00 $4.03 0.34x 2026-11-12 02:39 UTC [AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) [mlody rastafari](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/mlody%20rastafari) $12.00 $2.51 0.21x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) [Bodzio z Podlasia](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Bodzio%20z%20Podlasia) $12.00 $9.63 0.80x 2026-11-11 19:54 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [♚doMAniKO♚](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%99%9AdoMAniKO%E2%99%9A) $12.00 $5.88 0.49x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) [TechN9ne](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/TechN9ne) $12.00 $5.26 0.44x 2026-11-11 17:53 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) [beamFPS TRADING](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/beamFPS%20TRADING) $12.00 $4.11 0.34x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Phortus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Phortus) $12.00 $10.04 0.84x 2026-11-11 02:05 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [Phortus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Phortus) $12.00 $8.89 0.74x 2026-11-11 02:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) [obsranejaja27](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/obsranejaja27) $12.00 $8.45 0.70x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) [Arcziii33](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Arcziii33) $12.00 $9.63 0.80x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.76 on average: an expected loss of $16.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt