--- title: "Pale Ritual case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pale Ritual ($4.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 58.79% over 153 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual rendered: 2026-11-12T03:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Pale Ritual](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Pale Ritual A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual?window=all) Price · $4.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 58.79% · 153 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 7 openings · below min 7 days · 116 openings · below min 30 days · 153 openings · below min since tracking started · 153 openings · below min 18.5% 103.7% 189.0% **Small sample.** 153 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual?window=24h) | 7 | 103.93% ±84.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual?window=7d) | 116 | 48.35% ±9.54 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual) | 153 | 58.79% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale-ritual?window=all) | 153 | 58.79% ±11.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=pale-ritual) [StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-just-smile-well-worn) Hidden $4.00 $1.00 0.25x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-well-worn) [CustomPlay](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/CustomPlay) $4.00 $1.23 0.31x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [shacky](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/shacky) $4.00 $1.06 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:22 UTC [Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) [NeaKătă](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/NeaK%C4%83t%C4%83) $4.00 $1.90 0.48x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) [ljanmmii.exe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ljanmmii.exe) $4.00 $10.34 2.59x 2026-11-11 08:37 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) [ljanmmii.exe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ljanmmii.exe) $4.00 $11.26 2.82x 2026-11-11 08:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) [ljanmmii.exe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ljanmmii.exe) $4.00 $2.31 0.58x 2026-11-11 08:37 UTC [MAC-10 | Last Dive (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-well-worn) [Matełko](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Mate%C5%82ko) $4.00 $1.86 0.47x 2026-11-11 01:16 UTC [Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) [Matełko](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Mate%C5%82ko) $4.00 $1.90 0.48x 2026-11-11 01:16 UTC [Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-field-tested) [behadin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/behadin) $4.00 $1.62 0.41x 2026-11-10 19:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 58.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $58.79 on average: an expected loss of $41.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt