--- title: "Pale case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pale ($0.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.69% over 378 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Pale](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Pale A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale?window=all) Price · $0.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 72.69% · 378 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 335 openings · below min 30 days · 378 openings · below min since tracking started · 378 openings · below min 17.5% 53.0% 88.5% **Small sample.** 378 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale?window=24h) | 29 | 33.10% ±14.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale?window=7d) | 335 | 75.16% ±12.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale) | 378 | 72.69% ±11.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/pale?window=all) | 378 | 72.69% ±11.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=pale) [Galil AR | Connexion (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-well-worn) [Maracuja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maracuja) $0.50 $0.50 1.00x 2026-11-11 07:39 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-minimal-wear) [Maracuja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maracuja) $0.50 $0.06 0.12x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC [MAC-10 | Palm (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-well-worn) [Maracuja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maracuja) $0.50 $0.04 0.08x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Fops](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Fops) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 06:29 UTC [Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-battle-scarred) [Maracuja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Maracuja) $0.50 $0.30 0.60x 2026-11-11 05:48 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) [INNNNho](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/INNNNho) $0.50 $0.54 1.08x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) [INNNNho](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/INNNNho) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 04:59 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-battle-scarred) [INNNNho](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/INNNNho) $0.50 $0.03 0.06x 2026-11-11 04:59 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [INNNNho](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/INNNNho) $0.50 $0.08 0.16x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC [P250 | Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-metallic-ddpat-minimal-wear) [240km/hPeek>☠️<(NO HANDS)>](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/240km%2FhPeek%26gt%3B%E2%98%A0%EF%B8%8F%26lt%3B%28NO%20HANDS%29%26gt%3B) $0.50 $0.20 0.40x 2026-11-11 03:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.69 on average: an expected loss of $27.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt