--- title: "Operation Phoenix case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Operation Phoenix ($1.50) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 73.56% over 788 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Operation Phoenix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Operation Phoenix A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix?window=all) Price · $1.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 73.56% · 788 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 179 openings · below min 7 days · 688 openings · below min 30 days · 788 openings · below min since tracking started · 788 openings · below min 65.0% 79.0% 93.0% **Small sample.** 788 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix?window=24h) | 179 | 79.03% ±13.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix?window=7d) | 688 | 73.78% ±6.98 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix) | 788 | 73.56% ±6.82 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/phoenix?window=all) | 788 | 73.56% ±6.82 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=phoenix) [Negev | Terrain (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-well-worn) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26amp%3Bgt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.61 0.41x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-well-worn) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26amp%3Bgt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.85 0.57x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-field-tested) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26amp%3Bgt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.64 0.43x 2026-11-11 10:45 UTC [Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $3.59 2.39x 2026-11-11 10:25 UTC [FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-well-worn) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $2.76 1.84x 2026-11-11 10:25 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-sandstorm-battle-scarred) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.68 0.45x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.80 0.53x 2026-11-11 10:23 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heaven-guard-field-tested) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.71 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:21 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-corporal-battle-scarred) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.54 0.36x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) [krooCH{>'](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/krooCH%7B%26gt%3B%26apos%3B) $1.50 $0.55 0.37x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.56 on average: an expected loss of $26.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt