---
title: "Poultry case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Poultry ($60.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.99% from 133 items with odds, observed 88.94% over 138 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Poultry](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Poultry

A case on Hellcase (chicken-raise), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry?window=all)

Price · $60.00

Advertised RTP · 87.99% · EV $52.80 from 133 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.94% · 138 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 13 openings · below min

7 days · 83.79% ±23.19 132 openings

30 days · 88.94% ±22.68 138 openings

since tracking started · 88.94% ±22.68 138 openings

-0.5% 66.8% 134.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry?window=24h) | 13 | 58.67% ±74.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry?window=7d) | 132 | 83.79% ±23.2 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry) | 138 | 88.94% ±22.7 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/poultry?window=all) | 138 | 88.94% ±22.7 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 133 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 138 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,619 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,519 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,506 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $1,403 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $1,320 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,381 | $722 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $681 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $644 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $590 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,852 | $576 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $519 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,695 | $518 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,613 | $499 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $497 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,562 | $478 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,515 | $463 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,471 | $449 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $432 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-well-worn) | 1 in 1,408 | $429 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,389 | $424 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,370 | $414 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,333 | $411 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 1,316 | $398 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,220 | $374 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $372 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 1,149 | $352 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,124 | $343 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 1,099 | $334 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $329 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $324 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 980 | $302 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 980 | $297 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 952 | $292 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 943 | $289 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 893 | $273 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-field-tested) | 1 in 826 | $251 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 781 | $238 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-well-worn) | 1 in 746 | $228 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 746 | $228 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 725 | $221 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 694 | $213 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 685 | $209 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 685 | $208 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 610 | $187 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 575 | $176 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 562 | $172 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-battle-scarred) | 1 in 556 | $170 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 549 | $168 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 546 | $167 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-field-tested) | 1 in 541 | $165 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 538 | $164 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 521 | $159 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 521 | $159 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 505 | $155 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 503 | $153 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $153 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 488 | $149 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 476 | $145 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $142 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 463 | $141 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 463 | $141 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $141 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 457 | $140 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 427 | $130 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 424 | $130 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 422 | $129 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 413 | $126 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 395 | $121 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 388 | $118 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 386 | $118 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 383 | $117 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 373 | $114 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 372 | $113 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 370 | $113 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 369 | $113 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 365 | $112 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 365 | $112 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-well-worn) | 1 in 347 | $106 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 1 in 344 | $105 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) | 1 in 339 | $104 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-factory-new) | 1 in 338 | $103 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) | 1 in 336 | $103 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $102 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-well-worn) | 1 in 326 | $99.69 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 313 | $95.74 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 312 | $95.08 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 310 | $94.53 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 305 | $93.02 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-battle-scarred) | 1 in 305 | $92.86 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 292 | $89.33 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 287 | $87.81 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 269 | $81.90 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 267 | $81.69 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-field-tested) | 1 in 263 | $80.50 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 263 | $80.27 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 1 in 262 | $80.14 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 247 | $75.37 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 243 | $74.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 1 in 227 | $69.14 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 223 | $68.03 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $67.94 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) | 1 in 216 | $65.92 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 215 | $65.51 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $63.79 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 201 | $61.33 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 195 | $59.55 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-battle-scarred) | 1 in 65 | $49.49 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $47.76 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $41.90 | 1.4% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.20× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $38.39 | 1.4% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.84× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $38.32 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $37.83 | 1.4% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.45× |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $37.41 | 1.4% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $36.15 | 1.4% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.73× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $32.95 | 1.4% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.32× |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $30.02 | 1.4% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $29.60 | 1.4% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.13× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $29.47 | 1.4% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.13× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $28.52 | 1.4% | 7 | 3.7 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $27.74 | 1.4% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $27.48 | 1.4% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $26.96 | 1.4% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $24.66 | 1.4% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $24.40 | 1.4% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.64× |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $23.99 | 1.4% | 10 | 4.4 | 2.30× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $23.72 | 1.4% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $23.52 | 1.4% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $22.50 | 1.4% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.29× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $20.23 | 1.4% | 6 | 5.2 | 1.16× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $19.63 | 1.4% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $19.47 | 1.4% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $15.79 | 1.4% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.60× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $10.91 | 1.4% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/poultry`, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [STM](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/STM) $60.00 $521 8.69x 2026-11-04 13:29 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [zat](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/zat) $60.00 $509 8.48x 2026-11-09 08:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=poultry)

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-field-tested) [pisika](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/pisika) $60.00 $24.40 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Galil AR | Cerberus (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-well-worn) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $60.00 $29.47 0.49x 2026-11-11 06:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-well-worn) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $60.00 $26.96 0.45x 2026-11-11 06:31 UTC

[MP7 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $60.00 $15.79 0.26x 2026-11-11 06:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-well-worn) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $60.00 $37.83 0.63x 2026-11-11 06:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-well-worn) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $60.00 $37.83 0.63x 2026-11-11 06:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-battle-scarred) [kronyii](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/kronyii) $60.00 $49.49 0.82x 2026-11-11 06:31 UTC

[M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-minimal-wear) [シ | 𝖈𝖆𝖑𝖎𝖓 ★ K](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%82%B7%20%7C%20%F0%9D%96%88%F0%9D%96%86%F0%9D%96%91%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%20%E2%98%85%20K) $60.00 $37.41 0.62x 2026-11-11 04:25 UTC

[Galil AR | Cerberus (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-well-worn) [The courier](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/The%20courier) $60.00 $29.47 0.49x 2026-11-11 01:17 UTC

[M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) [KW1AT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KW1AT) $60.00 $36.15 0.60x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $60.00 | 87.99% | 133 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $60.00 | 87.97% | 133 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $60.00 | 87.72% | 133 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $60.00 | 88.01% | 133 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $60.00 | 88.02% | 133 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $60.00 | 88.00% | 133 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $60.00 | 87.99% | 133 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $60.00 | 88.00% | 133 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $60.00 | 88.00% | 133 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $60.00 | 87.90% | 133 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $60.00 | 87.98% | 133 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $60.00 | 88.01% | 133 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 2.1% covert 9.5% rare 2.0% covert knife 0.4% classified 35.6% Immortal 0.2% red 2.0% Covert 0.3% restricted 14.6% Mythical 0.7% pink 10.3% #d32ee6 5.7% Restricted 6.9% Classified 2.7% violet 6.9% best hit $521 (8.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.99 on average: an expected loss of $12.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt